Abstract
A ten-year forecast of the Global and regional markets for selected edge
emitter laser diode based transmitters & receivers.
Global Summary Provided, Plus the Following Regions:
This proposal describes the ElectroniCast Executive Study Service (ESS) Global
Forecast of consumption trends and optoelectronic market in the format of
edge-emitting laser diode based transmitter/receiver pairs (VCSEL-based T/Rs
are forecasted in ElectroniCast' s VCSEL Transceiver Forecast). ElectroniCast
Consultants' series of ESS reports provide clients with summary-level data and
analysis derived from their "parentreport."
The basic assumption is that each receiver has a corresponding transmitter
somewhere in the end use system, and these units are matched in terms of
performance characteristics. Most commonly, they are purchased in matched
quantities, by the producers of the end use equipment and for upgrade
applications. This forecast is based on the complete, final value of the
functional transmitters and receivers.
ElectroniCast' s ESS report presents a 2006-2016 global forecast of consumption
value ($, million) of a listing edge emitter laser diode transmitters and
receivers by configuration and of transmission rates (see Figure 1). The
information is presented in easy-to-follow illustrations, data Tables and
text. Forecast data is provided for each of the three major world regions,
plus a global summary. Trends in high-speed optical communications are
presented.
The report also outlines the market research methodology followed and the key
assumptions made. Market share estimates of the 2006 edge emitter laser diode
transmitters and receivers competition are provided.
METHODOLOGY
ElectroniCast Consultants' Forecasts are based on an analysis and forecast of
the basic driving forces: technology, economics and governmental action. The
knowledge and experience of the analysts are critical factors in the final
results of the programs. This study is based on analysis of information
obtained continually over the past two decades, but updated in 2nd Quarter
2007. During this period, ElectroniCast Consultants analysts performed a large
number of interviews, both by telephone and in-person, with authoritative and
representative individuals in the fiber optics, telecommunications, datacom,
cable TV and other communication industries, from the standpoint of both
suppliers and users of fiber optics communication components.
The interviews were conducted principally with:
- " Engineers, marketing personnel and management at manufacturers of
optoelectronic transmitters/transceivers and related optical components and
parts.
- " Engineers, marketing personnel and market planners at major users of
fiber optic interconnection links, such as distribution and apparatus
equipment, regional and interexchange telephone companies, alternative local
carriers, data communications equipment companies, cable TV system suppliers,
PBX manufacturers, utilities and a number of other end users of fiber optic
communication components and technology.
The interviews covered issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract
size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards,
supplier competition and other topics.
A full review of published information was also performed to supplement
information obtained through interviews.
The following sources were reviewed:
- Professional technical journals and papers
- Trade press articles
- Technical conference proceedings
- Additional information based on previous ElectroniCast Consultants market
studies, including the Fiber Optic Forecast Service Data Base, the Fiber Optic
Optoelectronics Forecast, the Intraenclosure Optical Interconnect Forecast,
the Optical Amplifier Forecast, the Massively Parallel Interconnection
Forecast, the Optoelectronic Transmitter/Receiver Forecast, and the
Broadband-To-The-Premise Market Forecast, the WDM, TDM and Fiber Global Market
Forecast.
- Personal knowledge of the research team.
In analyzing and forecasting the complexities of the Global market for fiber
optic components, it is essential that the market research team have a good
and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast
Consultants members who participated in this report were qualified.
The market forecast data for this service includes extensive information
obtained during research for the annual Fiber Optics Forecast Service and
other ElectroniCast multiclient studies.