Abstract
“The mature markets of North America, Western Europe and Developed
Asia-Pacific accounted for 70% of revenue in 2008, but will have the lowest
growth rates over the forecast period.”Roz Roseboro, Senior
Analyst.
Revenue for communications service providers (CSPs) grew by 5% in 2008, to
reach USD1.8 trillion. Revenue is forecast to grow at a CAGR of 6% from 2008
to 2013, reaching USD2.4 trillion. Mobile data services will be the main
engine of growth. Mobile voice is forecast to grow at a CAGR of 5%, but
non-messaging mobile data will grow at a CAGR of 16% and messaging data at a
CAGR of 12%. Residential broadband and video will continue to grow at
double-digit rates, at 10%. Business services will grow at the same rate as
overall revenue, at 6%. PSTN revenue will decline at a CAGR of -6%.
The mature markets of North America, Western Europe and Developed Asia-Pacific
accounted for 70% of revenue in 2008, but will have the lowest growth rates
over the forecast period, with CAGRs of 4%, 1% and 3%, respectively. Emerging
markets are forecast to grow more quickly, with the highest growth coming in
the Middle East, at a CAGR of 14%, and sub-Saharan Africa at a CAGR of 13%.
The market in Central/Latin America will grow at CAGR of 12% CAGR, that in
Emerging Asia-Pacific at a CAGR of 11% and Central and Eastern Europe at a
CAGR of 5%.
This 208-page report provides a detailed five-year forecast for CSPs in ten
service areas: mobile voice, mobile non-messaging data, mobile messaging data,
residential broadband, video, wholesale, legacy business data services,
next-generation IP/Ethernet services, managed ICT and PSTN, on a global basis,
as well as by region: North America, Central/Latin America, Western Europe,
Central and Eastern Europe, Middle East/North Africa, sub-Saharan Africa,
Developed Asia-Pacific and Emerging Asia-Pacific. The report includes market
shares of the leading CSPs, overall and by region. It includes analysis of the
market drivers and inhibitors for growth in all regions, as well as discussion
of the factors within the business environment that will affect the growth of
CSPs' revenue across all regions.
The report addresses the following important issues:
- The importance of mobile data to the growth of CSPs' revenue
- Challenges facing CSPs operating in emerging markets
- The impact of the global economic slowdown
- The need for CSPs to develop new business models and form partnerships
with third parties
- The role vendors play in enabling CSPs to overcome their challenges.
The report incorporates an appendix that includes financial and operational
data for more than 100 CSPs with revenue of USD1 billion or more. This
information is presented on a global basis and by region. The appendix also
includes market share information by service and subscriber type on a regional
basis.
Overall, this 208-page report is an excellent source of market intelligence
for CSPs, network equipment and software suppliers, systems integrators,
venture capitalists and financial analysts.
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