Table of Contents
0 Summary
1 Players in the mobile industry must assess the impact of wireless VoIP in the context of overall strategy
2 Mobile network operators and end users will be critical players in determining the success of wireless VoIP
- 2.1 Wireless VoIP brings potential opportunities and threats for many
players in the telecoms industry
- 2.2 Industry players should not assume that VoIP services will follow the
same evolutionary path on fixed and mobile networks
- 2.3 Equipment vendors, keen to sell infrastructure, handsets and services,
are the main current proponents of wireless VoIP
- 2.4 Mobile network operators are crucial to the future of wireless VoIP
but must be persuaded to replace their circuit-switched voice infrastructure
- 2.5 Wireless VoIP services will only succeed if they are an attractive
alternative to existing voice services for end users
- 2.6 Wireless industry players need to quantify the impact of wireless VoIP
on the overall voice market in order to focus on the greatest revenue
opportunities
3 Improvements to cellular radio technology will create the long-term business case for mass-market wireless VoIP services
- 3.1 Early deployment of CDMA2000 1~ EV-DO Revision A in the USA will give
cellular VoIP a head start over Western Europe
- 3.2 Prior to the commercial deployment of 3G LTE, there will be no
business case for W-CDMA operators to migrate from circuit-switched voice
- 3.3 The lower cost of delivery, enhanced network capacity and increased
service benefits of 3G LTE will create the business case for W-CDMA operators
to embrace VoIP
- 3.4 Migration to cellular VoIP wi ll require investment in IP core network
equipment such as softswitches in order to provide sufficient capacity and
quality of service
- 3.5 The production of cellular VoIP handsets will benefit from greater
economies of scale than dual-mode, cellular/WLAN handsets
- 3.6 Mobile operators can take action to control arbitrage opportunities in
both the short and long term
- 3.7 When cellular VoIP services mature, mobile operators must position
them as premium voice services in order to maintain ARPU
- 3.8 Cellular VoIP services will be adopted earlier in the USA than in
Western Europe as CDMA2000 operators introduce EV-DO Rev A
- 3.9 Cellular VoIP will begin to grow rapidly in Western Europe from 2011,
following the introduction of 3G LTE
- 3.10 By 2015 cellular VoIP will carry more traffic and generate more
revenue than all fixed voice services in Western Europe
- 3.11 There will be significant differences among countries and operators
in the extent to which they embrace cellular VoIP services
4 The dominance of cellular VoIP services will constrain wireless VoIP on alternative networks to niche opportunities
- 4.1 VoIP on alternative wireless technologies will struggle to compete
with cellular voice services
- 4.2 Residential VoWLAN services will be held back by the complexity of the
service, the limitations of handsets and the lack of price differentiation
from cellular services
- 4.3 Public VoWLAN will be unable to compete with the ubiquity, simplicity
and cost effectiveness of cellular services
- 4.4 Enterprise VoWLAN will be an opportunity for business solution
providers, but WLAN costs will constrain deployment
- 4.5 The limited deployment of BWA networks will constrain the impact of
BWA VoIP services in the USA and Western Europe
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List of Figures and Tables
- Figur e 0.1: Annual voice minutes carried by fixed and wireless networks
in the USA, 2006-15
- Figur e 0.2: Annual voice minutes carried by fixed and wireless networks
in Western Europe, 2006-15
- Table 2.1: Categories of cellular networks, WLAN and BWA technologies and
examples of wireless VoIP solutions that use these technologies
- Table 2.2: Potential opportunities and threats created by wireless VoIP
services on cellular networks, WLAN and BWA technologies
- Table 2.3: Evolution of capabilities from W-CDMA Release 99
- Table 2.4: Evolution of capabilities from CDMA2000 1~ Revision 0
- Figur e 3.1: Average voice minutes per user per month in the USA for
cellular services, 2006-15
- Figur e 3.2: Annual voice minutes carried by fixed and wireless services
in the USA, 2006-15
- Figur e 3.3: Average voice revenues per user per month in the USA for
cellular services, 2006-15
- Figur e 3.4: Annual revenues generated by fixed and wireless voice
services in the USA, 2006-15
- Figur e 3.5: Average cellular voice minutes per user per month in Western
Europe, 2006-15
- Figur e 3.6: Annual voice minutes carried by fixed and wireless services
in Western Europe, 2006-15
- Figur e 3.7: Average retail revenues per outgoing call minute generated by
fixed and cellular voice services in Western Europe, 2006-15
- Figur e 3.8: Average voice revenue per user per month in Western Europe
for cellular services, 2006-15
- Figur e 3.9: Annual revenues generated by fixed and wireless voice
services in Western Europe, 2006-15
- Figur e 3.10: Penetration of fixed broadband and cellular mobile services
in the USA and Western Europe, 2006-15
- Figur e 4.1: Annual voice minutes carried by VoIP services on BWA,
cellular and WLAN networks in Western Europe and the USA, 2006-15
- Figur e 4.2: Annual revenues generated by VoIP services on cellular, WLAN
and BWA networks in Western Europe and the USA, 2006-15
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