Table of Contents
- 4. Document map - Executive summary
- 5. Executive summary
- 6. Document map - Overall wireless broadband market
- 7. Wireless broadband will be delivered by a variety of technologies
- 8. High take-up of wireless broadband services will expand the user base
from 70 million in 2008 to 2.1 billion by 2015
- 9. Cellular technologies will be the dominant means of supporting wireless
broadband users
- 10. Underpinning our forecasts is growth in take-up of wireless broadband
arising from some key market drivers
- 11. Developing regions will propel the number of cellular customers from
3.5 billion in 2008 to 5.0 billion by 2015
- 12. Demand for wireless broadband services, and for higher quality, will
increase
- 13. To increase capacity and efficiency, MNOs will encourage migration to
advanced technologies
- 14. Annual revenue from wireless broadband will represent 58% of total
service revenue in 2015
- 15. Most wireless broadband users in 2015 will be in developing regions,
where service revenue will be low
- 16. Document map - HSPA and HSPA+
- 17. HSPA networks are already becoming widespread
- 18. HSPA/HSPA+ will dominate wireless broadband services, with 1.1 billion
customers worldwide by 2015
- 19. Worldwide annual service revenue from HSPA/HSPA+ will peak at USD410
billion in 2014
- 20. Many HSPA operators will upgrade to HSPA+, even once LTE becomes
available
- 21. Document map - Broadband EV-DO
- 22. EV-DO will be limited to the niche of CDMA2000 networks and will reach
404 million customers by 2015
- 23. Developed Asia and North America will dominate EV-DO service revenue
of USD174 billion in 2015
- 24. Document map - LTE
- 25. Most MNOs will not invest in WiMAX, but will evolve to LTE from HSPA
and HSPA+
- 26. After a slow start, LTE growth will accelerate to gain 440 million
customers by 2015
- 27. High ARPU levels will cause LTE service revenue to reach USD194
billion in 2015
- 28. Western Europe and developed Asia will lead the growth of LTE
- 29. Developing regions will account for 36% of LTE customers by 2015
- 30. Low ARPU in developing regions will limit their contribution to LTE
service revenue
- 31. HSPA+ is an important technology, but LTE will have a larger user base
by 2015
- 32. Document map - WiMAX
- 33. In developed markets, WiMAX will face intense competition from fixed
and cellular broadband services
- 34. The limited success of fixed BWA in developed markets highlights the
challenge for WiMAX
- 35. Competition from other technologies will limit WiMAX' s global customer
base to 98 million in 2015
- 36. Developing regions will generate 70% of the total WiMAX service
revenue of USD13 billion in 2015
- 37. Cellular broadband customers will outnumber and outspend WiMAX users
- 38. Annex - Wireless broadband technology overview
- 39. Cellular standards define a series of broadband capabilities
- 40. HSPA and HSPA+ significantly enhance UMTS radio interface performance
- 41. HSPA+ employs higher-order modulation and smart antennas to boost the
performance of HSPA
- 42. EV-DO provides CDMA2000 operators with a similar evolution path to HSPA
- 43. LTE is a major development by 3GPP that will be commercially available
towards the end of 2009
- 44. WiMAX IEEE 802.16e-2005 supports mobile broadband services
- 45. Document map - Authors, copyright and key to acronyms
- 46. Authors
- 47. Acknowledgements
- 48. Copyright and disclaimer
- 49. Key to acronyms
- 50. Document map - Lists of figures and tables
- 51. List of figures and tables [1]
- 52. List of figures and tables [2]
- 53. Document map - About Analysys Mason reports and services
- 54. About Analysys Mason
- 55. Reports from Analysys Mason
- 56. Market intelligence services from Analysys Mason
- 57. Custom Research from Analysys Mason
List of figures and tables[1]
- Figure 1: Technologies that deliver wide-area wireless broadband services
- Figure 2: Wireless customers worldwide, 2008 - 2015
- Figure 3: Wireless broadband customers worldwide, by technology, 2008 -
2015
- Figure 4: Key factors driving the take-up of wireless broadband services
- Figure 5: Cellular customers worldwide, by region, 2008 - 2015
- Figure 6: Service and quality drivers for wireless broadband services
- Figure 7: Estimated network capacities for W-CDMA, HSPA, HSPA+ and LTE for
a typical deployment of 10 000 base stations
- Figure 8: Wireless service revenue worldwide, 2008 - 2015
- Figure 9: Proportion of wireless broadband customers in developed and
developing regions, 2008 - 2015
- Figure 10: Proportion of wireless broadband service revenue from developed
and developing regions, 2008 - 2015
- Figure 11: W-CDMA and HSPA active commercial networks worldwide, December
2005 to June 2008
- Figure 12: HSPA/HSPA+ customers worldwide, by region, 2008 - 2015
- Figure 13: HSPA/HSPA+ service revenue worldwide, by region, 2008 - 2015
- Figure 14: Split between HSPA and HSPA+ customers, 2008 - 2015
- Figure 15: Broadband EV-DO customers worldwide, by region, 2008 - 2015
List of figures and tables [2]
- Figure 16: Broadband EV-DO service revenue worldwide, by region, 2008 -
2015
- Figure 17: LTE customers worldwide, by region, 2008 - 2015
- Figure 18: LTE service revenue worldwide, by region, 2008 - 2015
- Figure 19: LTE customers in developed regions, 2008 - 2015
- Figure 20: LTE customers in developing regions, 2008 - 2015
- Figure 21: Proportion of LTE customers in developed and developing
regions, 2012 - 2015
- Figure 22: Proportion of LTE service revenue from developed and developing
regions, 2012 - 2015
- Figure 23: Number of customers worldwide using HSPA+ or LTE technology,
2008 - 2015
- Figure 24: Properties of fixed and cellular broadband services that will
allow them to squeeze WiMAX services in developed regions
- Figure 25: Actual broadband connection penetration of population in
Western European countries, by service type, March 2008
- Figure 26: WiMAX customers worldwide, by region, 2008 - 2015
- Figure 27: WiMAX service revenue worldwide, by region, 2008 - 2015
- Figure 28: Wireless broadband customers worldwide, by technology, 2008 -
2015
- Figure 29: ARPU from cellular broadband and WiMAX services worldwide, 2008
- 2015
- Table 1: Summary of advanced wireless broadband technologies
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