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Market Research Report

Metallocenes - What Will They Replace?

Published by BCC Research Contact us : +1-860-674-8796
Published 2003/01 Content info  
Product code BC10367
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Description TOC

INTRODUCTION

STUDY GOALS AND OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study is to provide a realistic analysis of metallocene-catalyzed resins, which have expanded from polyethylenes to polyolefin plastomers and elastomers, polypropylenes, EPDMs, polystyrenes, ethylene-styrene copolymers, cyclic olefin copolymers and others for the North American market.

REASON FOR DOING THE STUDY

Earlier reports from the last five to ten years have usually been far too optimistic in terms of projected volumes of products. An objective appraisal of these polymers is needed to properly position these materials in the marketplace.

The onset of metallocene polymers has brought forth the concept of single-site catalysis of which metallocenes are just one example, albeit the first commercial success. Furthermore, more traditional polyolefins, most notably LLDPE, which compete with metallocenes, have been made with upgraded conventional Ziegler-Natta catalysis.

Many analysts now group these catalyst advances into one-category by naming them metallocene/single-site (m/SS), which makes it more difficult to differentiate these two types of products. To further intensify the competitive scenario, standard Ziegler-Natta LLDPEs continue to effectively compete with m/SS variants.

Major questions to be answered are: Which end-use markets and what materials will be replaced by metallocene polymers, and to what extent?

SCOPE OF THE STUDY

This report will cover the metallocene-catalyzed versions of the following resins/elastomers: LLDPE, HDPE, VLDPE, polypropylene, polystyrene and EPDM, along with recently introduced variants known as polyolefin plastomers (POPs) and polyolefin elastomers (POEs). Recently introduced ethylene-styrene copolymers and cyclic olefin copolymers, which are both based on metallocene technology, will also be described.

The competitive scenario in which these resins and elastomers will do battle with traditional LLDPE, HDPE, VLDPE, EVA, ionomers, and other resins/elastomers will also be analyzed, along with the backdrop of a wide array of applications led by nonfood and food packaging flexible films, stretch/shrink films, nonpackaging films, and many other uses in markets such as rigid packaging, medical, automotive, wire/cable, hose/tubing, polymer modification and a miscellaneous category comprising foams, sporting goods, toys, footwear, continuous filament, nonwoven fibers, etc.

Competitive markets relate to possible metallocene resin/elastomer replacement and do not refer to entire end-use applications for a given resin or elastomer.

Technologies, mergers and acquisitions, licensing, FDA status, legal issues, industry structure, recycling and pricing are other critical topics that will be included. When discussing recent historical developments, original company names will be used due to the increase in recent mergers. Thus Exxon Chemical and Mobil Polymers rather than ExxonMobil; Union Carbide instead of Dow; Phillips Chemical and Chevron in place of Chevron Phillips; and Montell instead of Basell Polyolefins.

In another context, the producers in this business continually make announcements about new construction of new plants or capacity increases at existing plants. In almost all cases, these plans are delayed or even permanently shelved so that, at the time of the writing of this report, some of these plans are "up in the air," so to speak.

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