Ukraine Autos Report Q2 2009

Table of Contents

Executive Summary 5
SWOT Analysis6
Ukraine Autos Industry SWOT 6
Ukraine Political SWOT 7
Ukraine Economic SWOT 8
Ukraine Business Environment SWOT 9
Regional Overview 10
The Used Car Market In EU Accession States 10
Used Cars Fall Off The Cliff 10
Impact Of The Economic Crisis On Car Sales 11
Price Pressure 12
Future Opportunities 13
Business Environment Ratings 15
Central And Eastern Europe Business Environment Ratings 18
Ukraine - Business Environment Rating 18
Limits Of Potential Returns 19
Risks To Realisation Of Potential Returns 19
Industry Forecast Scenario 21
Production & Sales 21
Ukraine Autos Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts 21
Economic Contribution 23
Ukraine Autos Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts 23
Macroeconomic Forecast Scenario24
Ukraine - Economic Activity 29
Competitive Landscape30
Market Overview 30
Ukraine Automotive Production, H108 31
WTO Accession And The Car Market 31
' Grey' Market 32
Proportion Of ' Grey' Sales By Brand, January-September 2007 33
Manufacturing 34
Commercial Vehicles 35
Ukraine Commercial Vehicle Production 37
Regulatory Developments 38
Company Monitor39
PSA Peugeot CitroCitroën 39
Financial Woes 39
Focus On Faurecia 40
Merger Opportunity 41
Eye On Eastern Europe 43
Company Profiles44
Lutsk Automotive Plant (LuAZ), Bogdan Corporation 44
AvtoZAZ 45
Eurocar 47
AvtoKrAZ 48
BMI Forecast Modelling49
How We Generate Our Forecasting Model 49
Sources 50