Table of Contents
Executive Summary
5
Colombia Security SWOT 6
Colombia Defence Industry SWOT 7
Colombia Political SWOT Analysis 8
Colombia Economic SWOT Analysis 9
Colombia Business Environment SWOT Analysis 10
Political Overview11
Security Risk Analysis14
BMI' s Security Ratings 14
Table: Latin America Security Ratings 14
Table: Latin America State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index 15
Regional Security: Latin America 15
Overview 15
Trends And Developments 16
Colombia' s Security Risk Ratings 18
Conflict Risk 19
Terrorism Risk 19
Physical Safety Risk 19
Security Overview 21
Internal Security Situation 21
Civil War 22
Paramilitary Demobilisation 22
FARC And Counter-Insurgency 24
Negotiations With The ELN 27
External Security Situation 28
Colombia-US Relations 28
Colombia-Venezuela Relations 30
Colombia-Ecuador Relations 32
Armed Forces And Government Spending 34
Armed Forces 34
Table: Regional Armed Forces, 2007 (including conscripted, ' 000) 34
International Deployment 35
Table: Foreign Deployments 35
Market Overview37
Arms Trade Overview 37
Industry Trends And Developments 38
Procurement Trends And Developments 38
Competitive Landscape 39
Table: Key Players In Colombia' s Defence Sector 39
Industry Forecast Scenario 41
Table: Colombia' s Armed Forces, 2005-2013 (' 000 personnel) 41
Table: Colombia' s Defence Sector Spending, 2005-2013 42
Key Risks To BMI' s Forecast Scenario 43
Macroeconomic Forecast 43
Table: Colombia - Economic Activity, 2005-2013 45
Company Profiles46
Industria Militar (Indumil) 46
Country Snapshot: Colombia Demographic Data 48
Section 1: Population 48
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 48
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 49
Section 2: Education And Healthcare 49
Table: Education, 2002-2005 49
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030 49
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006 50
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) 51
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012 51
BMI Forecast Modelling52
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 52
Defence Industry 52
Sources 53
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