Table of Contents
Executive Summary
5
Libya Security SWOT 6
Libya Defence Industry SWOT 7
Political Overview8
Security Risk Analysis11
BMI' s Security Ratings 11
Table: Middle East And Africa Defence And Security Ratings 11
Table: Middle East And North Africa State Terrorism Vulnerability Index 12
Regional Security: Middle East and North Africa 12
Libya' s Security Risk Ratings 14
Conflict Risk 14
Terrorism Risk 15
Physical Safety Risk 15
Security Overview 16
Internal Security Situation 16
Table: Libyan Insurgent Groups 17
Latest Developments 17
External Security Situation 18
Latest Developments 19
Armed Forces and Government Spending21
Armed Forces 21
Table: Regional Armed Forces, 2007 (including conscripted, ' 000) 21
Current Strength 21
Historical Strength 22
Equipment 23
International Deployments 23
Table: International Deployments 23
Weapons of Mass Destruction 24
Market Overview26
Industry Trends and Developments 27
Latest Developments 29
Procurement Trends and Developments 29
Industry Forecast Scenario 32
Table: Libya' s Army Enlargements, 2004-2012 (' 000) 32
Table: Libya' s Government Defence Expenditure, 2005-2012 33
Key Risks to BMI' s Forecast Scenario 34
Macroeconomic Forecast Scenario 34
Table: Libya - Macroeconomic Activity, 2006-2013 36
Country Snapshot: Libya Demographic Data37
Section 1: Population 37
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 37
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 38
Section 2: Education and Healthcare 38
Table: Education, 2002-2005 38
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030 38
Section 3: Labour Market and Spending Power 39
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) 39
BMI Forecast Modelling40
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 40
Defence Industry 40
Sources 41
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