Table of Contents
Executive Summary
5
Table: Latest Actual Data (RUBbn) 5
Table: Latest Actual Data (US$bn) 5
Table: Latest key Indicators At November 2008 5
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections, 2009-2013 (%) 6
Table: Ranking Out Of 46 Countries Reviewed In 2009 6
Table: Projected Levels, 2008-2013 (RUBbn) 6
Table: Projected Levels (US$bn) 7
Overview - Commercial Banking Sector Of Russia 8
SWOT Analysis10
Russia Commercial Banking SWOT 10
Russia Political SWOT 11
Russia Economic SWOT 11
Russia Business SWOT 12
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating13
Table: Russia' s Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings 13
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Analysis 14
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings 16
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Methodology 16
Global Outlook18
Regional Outlook20
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios, End 2008 20
Table: Anticipated Developments In 2009 21
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits, 2007 And 2008 (US$bn) 22
Table: Comparison Of Per Capita Deposits, End 2008 (US$) 23
Table: Interbank Rates And Bond Yields 24
Commercial Bank Sector Outlook 25
Central And Eastern Europe Overview 26
Macroeconomic Activity 28
Table: Russia - Economic Activity, 2005-2013 34
Exchange Rate Policy 34
External Debt 36
Fiscal Policy 37
Market Structure40
Protagonists 40
Table: Protagonists In Russia' s Commercial Banking Sector 40
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 41
List Of Banks 41
Table: Russia' s 10 largest banks 41
Company Profiles42
Sberbank 42
Key Statistics for Sberbank, 2003-Q308 (RUB) 42
VTB 43
Key Statistics for VTB, 2003-Q308 (RUB) 43
Alfa Bank 44
Gazprom Bank 45
Unicredit Bank 46
Raiffeisen Bank 47
Promsvyazbank 48
Bank of Moscow 49
Key Statistics for Bank of Moscow, 2003-Q308 (RUB) 49
Methodology50
Basis Of Projections 51
Commercial Bank Business Environment Rating 51
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators And Rationale 53
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 54
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