Table of Contents
Executive Summary
5
Table: Latest Actual Data (TRYbn) 5
Table: Latest Actual Data (US$bn) 5
Table: Latest key Indicators At November 2008 5
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections, 2009-2013 (%) 6
Table: Ranking Out Of 46 Countries Reviewed In 2009 6
Table: Projected Levels, 2008-2013 (TRYbn) 6
Table: Projected Levels (US$bn) 7
Overview - Commercial Banking Sector Of Turkey 8
SWOT Analysis10
Turkey Commercial Banking SWOT 10
Turkey Political SWOT 10
Turkey Economic SWOT 11
Turkey Business Environment SWOT 11
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating12
Table: Turkey' s Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings 12
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Analysis 13
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Methodology 15
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings 16
Global Outlook17
Regional Outlook19
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios, End 2008 19
Table: Anticipated Developments In 2009 20
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits, 2007 And 2008 (US$bn) 21
Table: Comparison Of Per Capita Deposits, End 2008 (US$) 22
Table: Interbank Rates And Bond Yields 23
Commercial Bank Sector Outlook 24
Central And Eastern Europe Overview 25
Macroeconomic Activity27
Economic Activity 27
Table: Turkey - Economic Activity, 2004-2013 28
Monetary Policy 29
Monetary Policy 30
Balance Of Payments 32
External Debt 34
Regional Outlook 35
Islamic Finance - Quo Vadis? 40
Some Hard Numbers 40
Under-Recognised Challenges 44
The Global Financial Crisis 45
What Really Matters: Indicators To Watch In 2009 46
Conclusion 48
Market Structure50
Protagonists 50
Table: Protagonists In Turkey' s Commercial Banking Sector 50
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 51
List Of Banks 51
Table: Major Deposit Banks 51
Table: Foreign Bank Branches 52
Company Profiles53
TC Ziraat Bankasi 53
Halkbank 54
Key Statistics for Halkbank, 2001-2008 (TRYmn) 54
VakifBank 55
Key Statistics for VakifBank, 2001-2008 (TRYmn) 55
Akbank 56
Key Statistics for Akbank, 2001-2008 (TRYmn) 56
ABank 57
Key Statistics for ABank, 2001-2008 (TRYmn) 57
Anadolubank 58
Sekerbank 59
Key Statistics for Sekerbank, 2001-2008 (TRYmn) 59
Turkish Bank 60
Tekstilbank 61
Key Statistics for Tekstilbank, 2003-Q308 (TRYmn) 61
Methodology62
Basis Of Projections 63
Commercial Bank Business Environment Rating 63
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators And Rationale 65
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 66
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