Table of Contents
Executive Summary
5
Brazil Security SWOT 6
Brazil Defence Industry SWOT 7
Brazil Political SWOT 7
Brazil Economic SWOT 8
Brazil Business Environment SWOT 8
Political Overview9
Security Risk Analysis12
BMI' s Security Ratings 12
Table: Latin America Security Ratings 12
Table: Latin America State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index 12
Regional Security - Latin America 13
Overview 13
Trends And Developments 14
Brazil' s Security Risk Ratings 16
Conflict Risk 16
Terrorism Risk 17
Physical Safety Risk 18
Security Overview 19
Internal Security Situation 19
External Security Situation 23
Table: Regional Insurgent Groups 23
Armed Forces And Government Spending 26
Armed Forces 26
Table: Regional Armed Forces, 2007 (including conscripted, ' 000) 26
International Deployments 28
Table Foreign Deployments 28
Weapons Of Mass Destruction 29
Market Overview31
Arms Trade Overview 31
Industry Trends And Developments 32
Procurement Trends And Developments 34
Industry Forecast Scenario 36
Table: Brazil' s Armed Forces, 2005-2013 (' 000 personnel) 36
Table: Brazil' s Government Defence Expenditure, 2005-2013 36
Macroeconomic Forecast 37
Table: Brazil - Economic Activity, 2006-2013 40
Company Profiles41
Embraer 41
AVIBRAS Indústria Aerospacial SA 43
Country Snapshot: Brazil Demographic Data 44
Section 1: Population 44
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 44
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 45
Section 2: Education And Healthcare 45
Table: Education, 2000-2003 45
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030 45
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power 46
Table: Employment Indicators, 1999-2004 46
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) 47
Table: Average Annual Wages, 1996-2002 47
BMI Forecast Modelling48
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 48
Defence Industry 48
Sources 49
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