Table of Contents
Executive Summary
5
Iran Security SWOT 6
Iran Defence Industry SWOT 6
Iran Political SWOT 7
Iran Economic SWOT 7
Iran Business Environment SWOT 8
Political Overview9
Security Risk Analysis15
BMI' s Security Ratings 15
Table: Middle East And Africa Defence And Security Ratings 15
Table: Middle East And North Africa State Terrorism Vulnerability Index 16
Regional Security: Middle East and North Africa 16
Iran - Security Risk Ratings 18
Conflict Risk 18
Terrorism Risk 19
Physical Safety Risk 19
Security Overview 20
MKO 20
Kurds 20
Sunni Islamist Extremists 20
Latest Developments 21
Armed Forces And Government Spending 22
Armed Forces 22
Table: Regional Armed Forces, 2007 (including conscripted) 22
Current Strength 23
Historical Strength 24
Equipment 24
International Deployments 25
Table: Iran' s Foreign Deployments 25
Weapons Of Mass Destruction 25
Background Brief: Iran' s Nuclear Programme 27
Delivery Vehicles 28
Market Overview29
Arms Trade Overview 29
Industry Trends And Developments 31
Table: Key Players In Iran' s Defence Sector 32
Procurement Trends And Developments 34
Industry Forecast Scenario 36
Table: Iran' s Defence Sector - Army Size, 2004-2011 (' 000) 36
Table: Iran' s Government Defence Expenditure, 2005-2012 37
Key Risks To BMI' s Forecast Scenario 38
Macroeconomic Forecast Scenario 38
Table: Iran - Economic Activity 41
Company Profiles42
Profiles - Indigenous Manufacturers 42
Defence Industries Organisation (DIO) 42
Aerospace Industries Organisation (AIO) 44
Ammunition Industries Group (AMIG) 45
Integrated Electronics Industries (IEI) 45
Profiles - Foreign Manufacturers 46
China Great Wall Industries Corporation 46
Sukhoi 47
Ulan-Ude Aviation Plant 47
Country Snapshot: Iran Demographic Data 48
Section 1: Population 48
Source: UN Population Division 48
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 48
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 49
Section 2: Education And Healthcare 49
Table: Education, 2002-2005 49
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030 49
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power 50
Table: Employment Indicators, 1996-2005 50
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) 51
Table: Average Annual Manufacturing Wages, 2000-2012 51
BMI Forecast Modelling52
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 52
Defence Industry 52
Sources 53
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