Table of Contents
Executive Summary
5
Syria Security SWOT 6
Syria Defence Industry SWOT 7
Syria Political SWOT 8
Syria Economic SWOT 9
Syria Business Environment SWOT 10
Political Overview11
Security Risk Analysis17
BMI' s Security Ratings 17
Table: Middle East And Africa Defence And Security Ratings 17
Table: Middle East And North Africa State Terrorism Vulnerability Index 18
Regional Security: Middle East and North Africa 18
Syria' s Security Risk Ratings 20
Conflict Risk 20
Terrorism Risk 21
Physical Safety Risk 21
Security Risk Overview22
Internal Security Situation 22
Latest Developments 23
External Security Situation 24
Latest Developments 25
Armed Forces And Government Spending 28
Armed Forces 28
Table: Regional Armed Forces, 2007 (including conscripted, ' 000) 28
Current Strength 28
International Deployments 30
Weapons Of Mass Destruction 30
Latest Developments 31
Market Overview32
Imports 33
Exports 33
Procurement Trends And Developments 33
Industry Forecast Scenario 35
Table: Syrian Government' s Defence Expenditure, 2005-2012 35
Mutual Assistance 35
Key Risks To BMI' s Forecast Scenario 37
Macroeconomic Forecast Scenario 37
Table: Syria - Economic Activity 41
Country Snapshot: Syria Demographic Data 42
Section 1: Population 42
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 42
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 43
Section 2: Education And Healthcare 43
Table: Education, 2002-2005 43
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030 43
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power 44
Table: Employment Indicators, 1999-2003 44
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) 44
BMI Forecast Modelling45
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 45
Defence Industry 45
Sources 46
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