Table of Contents
Executive Summary
5
Table: Levels (PKRbn) 5
Table: Levels (US$bn) 5
Table: Levels At June 2008 5
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections, 2009-2013 (%) 6
Table: Ranking Out Of 45 Countries Reviewed In 2009 6
Table: Projected Levels (PKRbn) 6
Table: Projected Levels (US$bn) 7
Overview - Commercial Banking Sector Of Pakistan 8
SWOT Analysis10
Pakistan Commercial Banking SWOT 10
Pakistan Political SWOT 11
Pakistan Economic SWOT 12
Pakistan Business Environment SWOT 13
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating14
Table: Pakistan' s Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings 14
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Analysis 14
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Methodology 16
Table: Middle East Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings 18
Global Outlook19
Regional Outlook21
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP ratios, 2008 21
Table: Anticipated Developments in 2009 22
Table: Comparison of Total Assets, Client Loans and Client Deposits (US$bn) 23
Table: Comparison of Per Capita Deposits, Late 2008 (US$) 24
Table: Interbank Rates and Bond Yields 25
Commercial Bank Sector Outlook 26
Macroeconomic Activity 26
Table: Pakistan - Economic Activity, 2005-2013 29
Monetary Policy 29
Balance of Payments 31
Fiscal Policy 33
Islamic Finance - Quo Vadis? 35
Some Hard Numbers 35
Under-Recognised Challenges 39
The Global Financial Crisis 40
What Really Matters: Indicators To Watch In 2009 41
Conclusion 43
Market Structure45
Protagonists 45
Table: Protagonists In Pakistan' s Commercial Banking Sector 45
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 46
List Of Banks 46
Table: Banks identified by the SBP 46
Company Profiles48
Habib Bank Limited 48
Key Statistics for Habib Bank Limited, 2001-2008 (PKR) 48
National Bank of Pakistan 49
Key Statistics for the National Bank of Pakistan, 2001-2008 (PKR) 49
United Bank Limited 50
Key Statistics for United Bank Limited, 2001-2008 (PKR) 50
ABN AMRO Bank (Pakistan) Limited 51
Key Statistics for ABN AMRO Bank (Pakistan) Limited, 2001-2008 (PKR) 51
Allied Bank Limited 52
Key Statistics for Allied Bank Limited, 2001-2008 (PKR) 52
Bank Alfalah Limited 53
Key Statistics for Bank Alfalah, 2001-2008 (PKR) 53
MCB Bank Limited 54
Key Statistics for MCB Bank Limited, 2001-2008 (PKR) 54
The Bank of Punjab 55
Key Statistics for the Bank of Punjab, 2003-Q308 (PKR) 55
Standard Chartered Bank (Pakistan) Limited 56
Methodology57
Basis Of Projections 58
Commercial Bank Business Environment Rating 58
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators And Rationale 60
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 61
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