Table of Contents
Executive Summary
5
SWOT Analysis6
Table: Algeria Petrochemicals Industry SWOT 6
Global Market Overview7
Global Ethylene Capacities 7
Table: World Ethylene Production By Country, 2008 And 2013 (' 000 tonnes capacity) 7
Polypropylene 10
Quarterly Oil Products Price Outlook 13
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions, Q408-Q409 (US$/bbl) 15
Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts, 2006-2013 (US$/bbl) 16
African Overview17
Table: Africa' s Gas Reserves, 2008 (bn cubic metres) 17
Table: Africa' s Oil Reserves, 2008 (bn barrels) 17
Table: Africa' s Cracker Capacity, 2007-2013 (' 000 tpa) 20
Algeria Market Overview21
Market Structure 22
Table: Production Of Petrochemicals, 2004 And 2005 (tonnes) 23
Table: Algeria' s Petrochemicals Sector - Cracker Capacity, 2006-2013 (' 000 tpa) 23
Industry Trends And Developments 24
Upstream 24
Olefins And Polyolefins 28
Table: Petrochemical Capacity At The Planned Arzew Complex 29
Fertiliser 29
Petrochemicals Business Environment31
Table: Middle East And Africa Petrochemicals Business Environment Ratings 31
Limits Of Potential Returns 31
Risks To Realisation Of Returns 32
Algeria' s Business Environment 33
Industry Forecast Scenario 35
Table: Algeria' s Petrochemical Sector - Arzew Complex Capacities, 2012 (' 000 tonnes) 36
Table: Algeria' s Petrochemical Sector, 2005-2013 37
Macroeconomic Activity 37
Table: Algeria - Economic Activity, 2006-2013 39
Company Monitor40
Sonatrach/ENIP 40
Country Snapshot: Algeria Demographic Data47
Section 1: Population 47
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 47
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 48
Section 2: Education And Healthcare 48
Table: Education Levels, 2002-2025 48
Table: Healthcare - Vital Statistics, 2005-2030 48
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power 49
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006 49
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) 50
BMI Forecast Modelling51
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 51
Chemicals And Petrochemicals Industry 51
Cross Checks 52
Business Environment Ratings 53
Table: Petrochemicals Business Environment Indicators And Rationale 53
Weighting 54
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 54
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