Table of Contents
Executive Summary
4
SWOT Analysis5
Australian Rail Freight Industry SWOT 5
Australia Political SWOT 5
Australia Economic SWOT Analysis 6
Australia Business Environment SWOT 6
Freight Transport Business Environment Ratings7
Table: Asia Pacific Freight Business Environment Ratings 7
Freight Industry Ranking 8
Australia Logistics Performance Index (LPI) 8
Economics - Long-Term Risk 9
Politics - Long-Term Risk 9
Freight Transport Growth 9
Transport Infrastructure Growth 9
Regulatory Environment 10
Competitive Environment 10
Transport Intensity Index 10
Business Environment Risk Summary 10
Legal Code/Corruption 10
Labour Force 11
Table: Labour Force Quality 12
Table: Australia' s Demographic Indicators, 2000-2030 14
Industry Trends And Developments 15
Road 16
Rail 17
Air 17
Sea 18
Industry Forecast Scenario 20
Quarterly Oil Products Price Outlook 20
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions, Q408-Q409 (US$/bbl) 22
Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts, 2006-2013 (US$/bbl) 23
Macroeconomic Forecast 23
Table: Australia - Economic Activity, 2006-2013 25
Transport Outlook 26
Table: Australia' s Freight Transport Indicators, 2006-2013 27
Table: Freight Carried, Domestic And International, 2006-2013 28
Trade Environment29
Tariffs/Non-Tariff Barriers 29
Table: Value Of Imports By Category, 2006-2013 (US$mn) 30
Table: Value Of Exports By Category, 2006-2013 (US$mn) 31
Market Overview32
Multi-Modal 32
Infrastructure 33
Roads 34
Competitive Landscape: Road 34
Toll Holdings 36
Table: Toll Holding' s Financial Performance 38
Rail 39
Competitive Landscape: Rail 40
Pacific National (ASCIANO) 42
Table: Financial Performance Pacific National (ASCIANO) 44
Air 45
Competitive Landscape: Aviation 45
Virgin Blue 48
Table: Virgin Blue' s Financial Performance 50
Water 51
Competitive Landscape: Maritime 51
Pipelines 55
Competitive Landscape: Pipelines 55
Country Snapshot: Australia Demographic Data 56
Section 1: Population 56
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 56
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2012 57
Section 2: Education And Healthcare 57
Table: Education, 2002-2005 57
Table: Vital Statistics 57
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power 58
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006 58
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) 58
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012 59
BMI Forecast Modelling60
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 60
Transport Industry 60
Sources 61
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