Table of Contents
Executive Summary
5
SWOT Analysis6
Brazil Road Haulage Industry SWOT 6
Brazil Political SWOT 6
Brazil Economic SWOT 7
Brazil Business Environment SWOT 8
Business Environment Overview 9
Table: Americas Freight Transport Business Environment Rankings 9
Brazil Logistics Performance Index (LPI) 10
Economics - Long-Term Risk 10
Politics - Long-Term Risk 11
Freight Transport Growth 11
Transport Infrastructure Growth 11
Regulatory Environment 11
Competitive Environment 11
Political Risk Summary 12
Economic Risk Summary 12
Business Environment Risk Summary 12
Legal Code/Corruption 13
Table: BMI' s Legal Framework Ratings 14
Labour Force 15
Table: Brazil' s Demographic Indicators, 2000-2030 16
Industry Trends And Developments 17
Road 18
Rail 19
Air 19
Sea 20
Industry Forecast Scenario 24
Quarterly Oil Products Price Outlook 24
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions, Q408-Q409 (US$/bbl) 26
Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts, 2006-2013 (US$/bbl) 27
Macroeconomic Overview 27
Table: Brazil - Economic Activity, 2005-2013 30
Transport Outlook 30
Table: Transport Industry Economic Scenario, 2006-2013 32
Table: Freight Carried, Domestic And International, 2006-2013 33
Trade Environment34
Table: Value Of Imports By Category, 2006-2013 (US$mn) 35
Table: Value Of Exports By Category, 2006-2013 (US$mn) 36
Table: Top Export Destinations, 2002-2006 (US$mn) 37
Table: Export Trade, 2003-2006 (% growth y-o-y) 38
Table: Import Trade, 2003-2006 (% growth y-o-y) 38
Table: Top Import Sources, 2002-2006 (US$mn) 39
Market Overview40
Multi-Modal 40
Table: Key Players In The Brazilian Freight Transport Sector 40
Competitive Landscape: Multi-Modal 42
Santos Brasil 43
Table: Santos Brasil' s Financial Performance, 2007 And 2008 (BRLmn) 44
Road 45
Infrastructure 45
Competitive Landscape: Road 46
Rail 48
Infrastructure 48
Competitive Landscape: Rail 49
América Latina Logística (ALL) 51
Table: ALL' s Financial Performance, 2007 And 2008 (BRLmn) 52
Air 53
Infrastructure 53
Competitive Landscape: Aviation 54
GOL Linhas Aereas Inteligentes 57
Table: GOL Linhas Aereas Inteligentes' Financial Performance (BRLmn) 58
Water 59
Infrastructure 59
Competitive Landscape: Maritime 60
Pipelines 62
Competitive Landscape: Pipelines 62
Country Snapshot: Brazil Demographic Data 64
Section 1: Population 64
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 64
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 65
Section 2: Education And Healthcare 65
Table: Education, 2000-2003 65
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030 65
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power 66
Table: Employment Indicators, 1999-2004 66
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) 66
Table: Average Annual Wages, 1996-2002 67
BMI Forecast Modelling68
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 68
Transport Industry 68
Sources 69
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