Table of Contents
Executive Summary
4
SWOT Analysis6
China' s Rail Industry SWOT 6
China Political SWOT 7
China Economic SWOT 8
China Business Environment SWOT 9
Freight Transport Business Environment Ratings10
Table: Asia Pacific Freight Business Environment Ratings 11
China Logistics Performance Index (LPI) 11
Economics - Long-Term Risk 12
Politics - Long-Term Risk 12
Freight Transport Growth 12
Transport Infrastructure Growth 13
Regulatory Environment 13
Competitive Environment 13
Transport Intensity Index 13
Political Risk Summary 14
Economic Risk Summary 14
Business Environment Risk Summary 14
Legal Code/Corruption 15
Red Tape 15
Labour Force 15
Industry Trends And Developments 17
Road 17
Rail 17
Air 19
Sea 20
Pipelines 24
Industry Forecast Scenario 25
Quarterly Oil Products Price Outlook 25
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions, Q408-Q409 (US$/bbl) 27
Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts, 2006-2013 (US$/bbl) 28
Macroeconomic Environment 28
Table: China - Economic Activity, 2006-2013 31
Transport Outlook 31
Table: China' s Freight Transport Industry, 2006-2013 32
Table: Freight Carried, Domestic And International, 2006-2013 (mn tonnes-km, unless otherwise stated) 33
Trade34
Table: Value Of Imports By Category, 2006-2013 (US$mn) 34
Table: Value Of Exports By Category, 2006-2013 (US$mn) 35
Market Overview36
Multi-Modal 37
Competitive Landscape: Multi-Modal 37
Sinotrans 39
Table: Sinotrans' Financial Performance, 2008 41
Road 42
Infrastructure 42
Competitive Landscape: Road 42
Rail 44
Competitive Landscape: Rail 44
Air 46
Infrastructure 46
Competitive Landscape: Aviation 46
China Southern Airlines 49
Table: China Southern Airlines' Financial Performance, 2007 And 2008 51
Maritime 52
Infrastructure 52
Competitive Landscape: Maritime 53
Pipelines 57
Competitive Landscape: Pipelines 57
Country Snapshot: China Demographic Data58
Section 1: Population 58
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 58
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 59
Section 2: Education And Healthcare 59
Table: Education, 2002-2005 59
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030 59
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power 60
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006 60
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) 60
Table: Average Annual Manufacturing Wages, 2005-2012 61
BMI Forecast Modelling62
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 62
Transport Industry 63
Sources 63
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