Table of Contents
Executive Summary
5
SWOT Analysis7
Croatia Tourism Industry SWOT 7
Croatia Political SWOT 8
Croatia Economic SWOT 8
Croatia Business Environment SWOT 9
Industry Forecast Scenario 10
Table: Croatia' s Tourism Industry, 2006-2013 (US$mn, unless otherwise stated) 10
Table: Croatia' s Travel Industry, 2006-2013 (' 000 people, unless otherwise stated) 11
Market Overview - Travel 14
Commercial Airlines 14
Quarterly Oil Products Price Outlook 17
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions, Q408-Q409 (US$/bbl) 19
Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts, 2006-2013 (US$/bbl) 20
Market Overview - Hospitality 21
Accommodation 22
Table: Structure Of Croatia' s Accommodation Market, 205-2012 22
Table: Croatia' s Hotel Industry - Key Players, 2007 23
Accommodation Developments 24
Gaming 26
Infrastructure 27
Business Environment 29
Regional Tourism Business Environment Ratings 29
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Travel And Tourism Business Environment Rating 29
BMI' s Security Ratings 29
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Regional Security Risk Ratings 30
Table: Central And Eastern Europe State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index 31
Regional Security: Europe 31
Croatia - Security Risk Ratings 35
Croatia' s Business Environment 36
Table: Croatia' s Annual FDI Inflows, 2000-2006 36
Table: Central And Eastern Europe' s FDI Inflows By Country, 2005-2006 (US$) 37
Currency Forecast39
Table: BMI' s Croatia Currency Forecasts 39
Global Assumptions 41
Table: Global Assumptions, 2008-2013 41
Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth And Exchange Rates, 2006-2011 42
Table: Emerging Markets' Growth, 2007-2013 44
Table: Commodity Prices, 2007-2010 45
Company Analysis 46
Croatia Airlines 46
Adris Group 47
Cubus Lux 48
Liburnia Riviera Hoteli 49
Hilton 50
BMI Forecast Modelling51
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 51
Tourism Industry 51
Tourism Ratings - Methodology 52
Table: Tourism Business Environment Indicators 53
Table: Weighting of Components 54
Sources54
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