Hong Kong Freight Transport Report Q3 2009

Table of Contents

Executive Summary 4
SWOT Analysis6
Hong Kong Shipping Industry SWOT 6
Hong-Kong Political SWOT 6
Hong-Kong Economic SWOT 7
Hong-Kong Business Environment SWOT 7
Freight Transport Business Environment Ratings8
Table: Asia Pacific Freight Business Environment Ratings 8
Freight Transport Industry Ranking 9
Hong Kong Logistics Performance Index (LPI) 9
Economics - Long-Term Risk 10
Politics - Long-Term Risk 10
Freight Transport Growth 10
Transport Infrastructure Growth 11
Regulatory Environment 11
Competitive Environment 11
Transport Intensity Index 11
Political Risk Summary 11
Economic Risk Summary 12
Business Environment Risk Summary 12
Legal Code/Corruption 12
Red Tape 13
Labour Force 13
Industry Trends And Developments 14
Rail 14
Air 14
Sea 15
Industry Forecast Scenario 17
Quarterly Oil Products Price Outlook 17
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions, Q408-Q409 (US$/bbl) 19
Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts, 2006-2013 (US$/bbl) 20
Macroeconomic Environment 20
Table: Hong Kong - Economic Activity, 2006-2013 23
Transport Outlook 23
Table: Freight Carried, Domestic And International, 2005-2013 24
Table: Hong Kong' s Transport Industry, 2006-2013 25
Trade Environment26
Table: Value Of Imports By Category, 2006-2013 (US$mn) 26
Table: Value Of Exports By Category, 2006-2013 (US$mn) 27
Foreign Trade Regime 27
Market Overview29
Multi-Modal 29
Table: Key Players In Hong Kong' s Transport Sector 30
Road31
Competitive Landscape: Road 31
Rail 32
Infrastructure 32
Competitive Landscape: Rail 33
Air 34
Infrastructure 34
Competitive Landscape: Aviation 35
Cathay Pacific 38
Table: Cathay Pacific' s Financial Performance 40
Hong Kong Air Cargo Terminals (HACTL) 41
Water43
Infrastructure 43
Competitive Landscape: Maritime 44
Hutchison Port Holdings (HPH) 47
Pipelines 50
Competitive Landscape: Pipelines 50
Country Snapshot: Hong Kong Demographic Data 51
Section 1: Population 51
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 51
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown 52
Section 2: Education And Healthcare 52
Table: Education, 2002-2005 52
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030 52
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power 53
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006 53
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) 54
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2005-2012 54
BMI Forecast Modelling55
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 55
Transport Industry 55
Sources 56