Table of Contents
Executive Summary
5
SWOT Analysis7
Hungarian Petrochemicals Sector SWOT 7
Hungary Political SWOT 7
Hungary Economic SWOT 8
Hungary Business Environment SWOT 9
Global Market Overview10
Global Ethylene Capacities 10
Table: World Ethylene Production By Country, 2008 And 2013 (' 000 tonnes capacity) 10
Polypropylene 13
Quarterly Oil Products Price Outlook 16
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions, Q408-Q409 (US$/bbl) 18
Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts, 2006-2013 (US$/bbl) 19
European Regulation Overview20
Table: Key Elements Of REACH 21
Production 22
Hungary Market Overview23
Table: Hungary' s TVK Cracker Capacity, 2006-2013 (' 000 tpa) 25
Petrochemicals Business Environment26
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Petrochemicals Business Environment Ratings 26
Limits Of Potential Returns 26
Risks To Realisation Of Potential Returns 27
Industry Trends And Developments 29
Upstream Developments 29
Acquisitions 29
MOL' s Strategy 33
Financial Results 34
Industry Forecast Scenario 36
Table: MO' sL Petrochemical Production, 2007 And 2008 (' 000 tonnes) 36
Table: MOL' s Petrochemical Sales, 2007 And 2008 (HUFbn) 36
Table: Hungary' s Petrochemical Industry, 2006-2013 38
Macroeconomic Outlook 39
Table: Hungary - Economic Activity, 2005-2013 42
Company Monitor43
Magyar Olaj-és Gázipari (MOL) 43
BorsodChem (BC) 47
Tiszai Vegyi Kombinat (TVK) 49
Country Snapshot: Hungary Demographic Data 51
Section 1: Population 51
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 51
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 52
Section 2: Education And Healthcare 52
Table: Education, 2002-2005 52
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030 52
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power 53
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006 53
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) 54
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012 54
BMI Forecast Modelling55
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 55
Chemicals And Petrochemicals Industry 55
Cross Checks 56
Business Environment Ratings 57
Table: Petrochemicals Business Environment Indicators And Rationale 58
Weighting 59
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 59
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