Table of Contents
Executive Summary
5
SWOT Analysis7
Tourism Industry SWOT 7
Hungary Political SWOT 7
Hungary Economic SWOT 8
Hungary Business Environment SWOT 8
Industry Forecast Scenario 9
Table: Hungary' s Tourism Industry, 2006-2013 (US$mn, unless otherwise stated) 9
Table: Hungary' s Travel Industry, 2006-2013 (' 000 people) 10
Market Overview - Travel 14
Commercial Airlines 15
Table: Key Players In The Hungarian Airline Market, 2007 17
Car Rental Firms 20
Quarterly Oil Products Price Outlook 21
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions, Q408-Q409 (US$/bbl) 23
Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts, 2006-2013 (US$/bbl) 24
Market Overview - Hospitality 25
Accommodation 26
Table: Structure Of Hungary' s Accommodation Market, 2006-2013 26
Table: Leading Operators In Hungary' s Accommodation Sector, 2007 27
Accommodation Developments 27
Infrastructure 29
Business Environment 30
Regional Tourism Business Environment Ratings 30
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Travel And Tourism Business Environment Rating 30
BMI' s Security Ratings 30
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Regional Security Risk Ratings 31
Table: Central And Eastern Europe State Terrorism Vulnerability Index 32
Regional Security: Europe 32
Hungary: Security Risk Ratings 36
Currency Forecast38
Table: BMI' s Hungary Currency Forecasts 38
Global Assumptions 40
Table: Global Assumptions, 2008-2013 40
Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth And Exchange Rates, 2006-2011 41
Table: Emerging Markets' Growth, 2007-2013 43
Table: Commodity Prices, 2007-2010 44
Company Profiles45
Malév Hungarian Airlines 45
Danubius Hotel and Spa Rt 47
Accor-Pannonia Hotels Rt 48
Wizz Air 49
Hilton 50
Country Snapshot: Hungary Demographic Data 51
Section 1: Population 51
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 51
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 52
Section 2: Education And Healthcare 52
Table: Education, 2002-2005 52
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030 52
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power 53
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006 53
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) 54
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012 54
BMI Forecast Modelling55
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 55
Tourism Industry 55
Tourism Ratings -Methodology 56
Table: Tourism Business Environment Indicators 57
Table: Weighting of Components 58
Sources 58
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