Table of Contents
Executive Summary
5
SWOT Analysis6
Indonesia Chemical and Petrochemical Industry SWOT 6
Indonesia Political SWOT 7
Indonesia Economic SWOT 8
Indonesia Business Environment SWOT 9
Global Market Overview10
Global Ethylene Capacities 10
Table: World Ethylene Production By Country, 2008 And 2013 (' 000 tonnes capacity) 10
Polypropylene 13
Quarterly Oil Products Price Outlook 16
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions, Q408-Q409 (US$/bbl) 18
Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts, 2006-2013 (US$/bbl) 19
Emerging Asia Petrochemicals Overview 20
Table: Asian Ethylene Projects 22
Indonesia Market Overview23
Market Structure 24
Supply And Demand 25
Table: Indonesian Petrochemical Sector Capacity 25
PE Segment 26
Impact Of Rising PE Imports 26
Other Polymers 27
Industry Trends And Developments 28
Regulation 28
Recent Developments 29
Upstream 31
Indonesia-Iran relations 34
Mergers And Acquisitions 35
Petrochemicals Business Environment36
Table: Asia Pacific Petrochemicals Business Environment Ratings 36
Limits Of Potential Returns 36
Risks To Realisation Of Returns 37
Industry Forecast Scenario 39
Table: Projected Polymer Production And Consumption In Indonesia, 2009 (tonnes) 39
Table: Indonesia' s Petrochemicals Sector, 2007-2013 41
Macroeconomic Outlook 41
Table: Indonesia - Economic Activity, 2006-2013 43
Company Monitor45
Chandra Asri (CACP) 45
Petrokimia Gresik (Petrogres) 46
Mitsui Chemicals 47
Country Snapshot: Indonesia Demographic Data 48
Section 1: Population 48
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 48
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 49
Section 2: Education And Healthcare 49
Table: Education, 2000-2005 49
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030 49
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power 50
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006 50
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2010 (US$) 50
Table: Average Annual Manufacturing Wages, 2000-2012 (IDR) 51
BMI Forecast Modelling52
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 52
Chemicals And Petrochemicals Industry 52
Cross Checks 53
Business Environment Ratings 53
Table: Petrochemicals Business Environment Indicators And Rationale 54
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