Table of Contents
Executive Summary
5
Table: Latest Actual Data (MXN bn) 5
Table: Latest Actual Data (US$bn) 5
Table: Latest Key Indicators At September 2008 5
Table: Average Annual Growth Rate Projections, 2009-2013 (%) 6
Table: Ranking Out Of 45 Countries Reviewed In 2009 6
Table: Projected Levels, 2008-2013 (MXN bn) 6
Table: Projected Levels (US$bn) 6
Overview - Commercial Banking Sector Of Mexico7
SWOT Analysis9
Mexico Commercial Banking SWOT 9
Mexico Political SWOT 10
Mexico Economic SWOT 10
Mexico Business Environment SWOT 11
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating12
Table: Mexico' s Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings 12
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Analysis 12
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Methodology 14
Global Outlook17
Regional Outlook19
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios, End 2008 19
Table: Anticipated Developments In 2009 19
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits, 2007 And 2008 (US$bn) 20
Table: Comparison Of Per Capita Deposits, End 2008 (US$) 20
Table: Interbank Rates And Bond Yields 21
Commercial Bank Sector Outlook 22
Macroeconomic Activity 22
Table: Mexico - Economic Activity, 2006 - 2013 24
Fiscal Policy 24
Exchange Rate/ Monetary Policy 26
Market Structure29
Protagonists 29
Table: Protagonists In Mexico' s Commercial Banking Sector 29
Definition Of Mexico' s Commercial Banking Universe 30
List Of Banks 30
Table: Universal Banks in descending order of size of assets as at September 2008 30
Table: Representatives of Foreign Banks 31
Company Profiles33
BBVA Bancomer 33
Table: Key Statistics for BBVA Bancomer, MXN mn 33
Banamex 34
HSBC Mexico 35
Table: Key Statistics for HSBC Mexico, MXN mn 35
Santander 36
Banorte 37
Table: Key Statistics for Banorte, MXN mn 37
Inbursa 38
Table: Key Statistics for Inbursa, MXN mn 38
Scotiabank 39
ING 40
Table: Key Statistics for ING, MXN mn 40
Methodology41
Basis Of Projections 42
Commercial Bank Business Environment Rating 42
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators And Rationale 44
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 45
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