Table of Contents
Executive Summary
5
SWOT Analysis6
Poland Political SWOT 6
Poland Economic SWOT 6
Poland Business Environment SWOT 6
Global Market Overview8
Global Ethylene Capacities 8
Table: World Ethylene Production By Country, 2008 And 2013 (' 000 tonnes capacity) 8
Polypropylene 11
Quarterly Oil Products Price Outlook 14
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions, Q408-Q409 (US$/bbl) 16
Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts, 2006-2013 (US$/bbl) 17
European Regulation Overview18
Table: Key Elements Of REACH 19
Production 20
Poland Market Overview21
Table: Poland' s Cracker Capacity, 2007-2013 (' 000 tpa) 22
Petrochemicals Business Environment23
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Petrochemicals Business Environment Ratings 23
Limits Of Potential Returns 23
Risks To Realisation Of Returns 24
Poland' s Business Environment 25
Foreign Investment Policy 26
Foreign Trade Regime 27
Industry Trends And Developments 28
Upstream Activities 29
PKN Strategy, 2009-2013 31
PKN-Grupa Lotos Merger 32
Financial Results 33
Industry Forecast Scenario 34
Table: Polish Petrochemicals Industry, 2006-2013 35
Macroeconomic Outlook 36
Table: Poland - Economic Activity, 2004-2013 38
Company Monitor39
Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen 39
Anwil 42
J&S Energy 43
Country Snapshot: Poland Demographic Data44
Section 1: Population 44
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 44
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 45
Section 2: Education And Healthcare 45
Table: Education, 2002-2005 45
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030 45
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power 46
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006 46
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) 46
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012 47
BMI Forecast Modelling48
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 48
Petrochemicals Industry 48
Cross Checks 49
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