Table of Contents
Executive Summary
5
SWOT Analysis7
Romania Tourism Industry SWOT 7
Romania Political SWOT 7
Romania Economic SWOT 8
Romania Business Environment SWOT 8
Industry Forecast Scenario 9
Table: Romania' s Tourism Industry, 2006-2013 (US$mn unless otherwise stated) 9
Table: Romania' s Travel Industry, 2006-2013 (' 000 people, unless otherwise stated) 11
Market Overview - Travel 13
Commercial Airlines 13
Quarterly Oil Products Price Outlook 17
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions, Q408-Q409 (US$/bbl) 20
Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts, 2006-2013 (US$/bbl) 21
Market Overview - Hospitality 22
Accommodation 22
Table: Structure Of Romania' s Accommodation Market, 2002-2005 23
Table: Key Players In The Romanian Hotel Industry, 2007 (US$mn) 24
Accommodation Developments 25
Infrastructure 26
Business Environment 28
Regional Tourism Business Environment Ratings 28
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Travel And Tourism Business Environment Rating 28
BMI' s Security Ratings 28
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Regional Security Risk Ratings 29
Table: Central And Eastern Europe State Terrorism Vulnerability Index 30
Regional Security: Europe 30
Romania' s Security Risk Ratings 35
Currency Forecast36
Table: BMI' s Romania Currency Forecasts 36
Global Assumptions 38
Table: Global Assumptions, 2008-2013 38
Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth And Exchange Rates, 2006-2011 39
Table: Emerging Markets' Growth, 2007-2013 41
Table: Commodity Prices, 2007-2010 42
Company Profiles43
Tarom 43
SIF Transilvania 45
Unita Turism Holding 46
Austrian Airlines 47
Hilton 48
Country Snapshot: Romania Demographic Data49
Section 1: Population 49
Section 2: Education And Healthcare 50
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030 50
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power 51
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006 51
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2005-2010 (US$) 51
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2006-2010 52
BMI Forecast Modelling53
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 53
Tourism Industry 53
Tourism Ratings -Methodology 54
Table: Tourism Business Environment Indicators 55
Table: Weighting of Components 56
Sources 56
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