Table of Contents
Executive Summary
5
SWOT Analysis7
Turkey Petrochemicals Industry SWOT 7
Turkey Political SWOT 7
Turkey Economic SWOT 8
Turkey Business Environment SWOT 8
Global Market Overview9
Global Ethylene Capacities 9
Table: World Ethylene Production By Country, 2008 And 2013 (' 000 tonnes capacity) 9
Polypropylene 12
Quarterly Oil Products Price Outlook 15
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions, Q408-Q409 (US$/bbl) 17
Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts, 2006-2013 (US$/bbl) 18
Market Overview19
Market Structure 20
Market Evolution 21
Table: Turkey' s Petrochemicals Sector - Cracker Capacity, 2007-2013 (' 000tpa) 21
Petrochemicals Business Environment23
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Petrochemicals Business Environment Ratings 23
Limits Of Potential Returns 23
Risks To Realisation Of Returns 24
Industry Trends And Developments 25
Table: Turkey' s Petrochemicals And Plastics Market, 2004-2015 (' 000 tonnes) 26
Post-Privatisation 27
Projects And Expansions 28
EU Accession 31
Industry Forecast Scenario 32
Table: Turkey' s Petrochemicals Imports, 2003-2007 (' 000 tonnes) 33
Table: Turkey' s Petrochemicals Sector, 2005-2013 34
Macroeconomic Activity 34
Table: Turkey - Economic Activity, 2005-2013 36
Company Monitor37
Petkim 37
Turkish Petroleum Refineries Corporation (Tüpras) 39
Dow 41
DuPont SA (Advansa) 42
Country Snapshot: Turkey Demographic Data 43
Section 1: Population 43
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 43
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 44
Section 2: Education And Healthcare 44
Table: Education, 2002-2005 44
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030 44
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power 45
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006 45
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) 45
BMI Forecast Modelling46
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 46
Chemicals And Petrochemicals Industry 46
Cross Checks 47
Business Environment Ratings 48
Table: Petrochemicals Business Environment Indicators And Rationale 49
Weighting 50
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 50
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