Table of Contents
Executive Summary
5
SWOT Analysis7
Ukraine Petrochemicals Industry SWOT 7
Ukraine Political SWOT 7
Ukraine Economic SWOT 8
Ukraine Business Environment SWOT 8
Global Market Overview9
Global Ethylene Capacities 9
Table: World Ethylene Production By Country, 2008 And 2013 (' 000 tonnes capacity) 9
Polypropylene 12
Quarterly Oil Products Price Outlook 15
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions, Q408-Q409 (US$/bbl) 17
Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts, 2006-2013 (US$/bbl) 18
European Overview20
Regulation 20
Table: Key Elements Of REACH 21
Production 22
Ukraine Market Overview24
Market Structure 24
Table: Ukraine' s Petrochemicals Sector: Cracker Capacity, 2005-2012 (' 000tpa) 25
Petrochemicals Business Environment26
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Petrochemicals Business Environment Ratings 26
Limits Of Potential Returns 26
Risks To Realisation Of Potential Returns 27
Industry Trends And Developments 29
Upstream 30
WTO Accession 33
Industry Forecast Scenario 34
Table: Ukraine Petrochemicals Industry, 2006-2013 36
Macroeconomic Outlook 36
Table: Ukraine - Economic Activity, 2005-2013 41
Company Monitor42
Profiles 42
KarpatNaftoKhim 42
TNK-BP 44
Stirol 46
Country Snapshot: Ukraine Demographic Data47
Section 1: Population 47
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 47
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 48
Section 2: Education And Healthcare 48
Table: Education, 2002-2005 48
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030 48
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power 49
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006 49
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) 49
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012 50
BMI Forecast Modelling51
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 51
Petrochemicals Industry 51
Cross Checks 52
Business Environment Ratings 53
Table: Petrochemicals Business Environment Indicators And Rationale 53
Weighting 54
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 54
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