Table of Contents
Executive Summary
5
SWOT Analysis6
United Kingdom Political SWOT 6
United Kingdom Economic SWOT 7
Global Market Overview8
Global Ethylene Capacities 8
Table: World Ethylene Production By Country, 2008 And 2013 (' 000 tonnes capacity) 8
Polypropylene 11
Quarterly Oil Products Price Outlook 14
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions, Q408-Q409 (US$/bbl) 16
Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts, 2006-2013 (US$/bbl) 17
European Overview19
Regulation 19
Table: Key Elements Of REACH 20
Production 21
UK Market Overview22
Market Structure 23
Competitive Landscape 24
Petrochemicals Business Environment26
Table: Western Europe Petrochemicals Business Environment Ratings 26
Limits Of Potential Returns 26
Risks To Realisation Of Returns 27
Industry Trends And Developments 28
Financial Results And Developments 28
Refining 30
Declining Reserves 30
Mergers And Acquisitions 31
Industry Forecast Scenario 34
Table: The UK' s Oil And Gas And Petrochemicals Sector, 2004-2013 34
Special Economic Report - Britain On The Brink 35
Table: The UK' s GDP Per Capita, 2000-2013 (US$) 38
Table: Top 25 Countries - GDP Per Capita, 2007, 2010 And 2013 (US$) 40
Table: BMI' s Short-Term Economic Risk Ratings, 2002-2009 44
Company Monitor46
BP 46
ExxonMobil Chemical 48
Shell Chemicals UK 49
Ineos 51
Country Snapshot: UK Demographic Data52
Section 1: Population 52
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 52
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 53
Section 2: Education And Healthcare 53
Table: Education, 2002-2005 53
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030 53
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power 54
Table: Employment Indicators, 2000-2005 54
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2011 (US$) 54
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012 55
BMI Forecast Modelling56
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 56
Chemicals And Petrochemicals Industry 56
Cross Checks 57
Business Environment Ratings 58
Table: Petrochemicals Business Environment Indicators And Rationale 58
Weighting 59
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 59
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