Table of Contents
Executive Summary — 5
Table: Levels
(BRLbn) — 5
Table: Levels (US$bn) — 5
Table: Levels At December 31 2007 — 5
Table: Annual Growth
Rate Projections, 2007-2012 (%) — 5
Table: Ranking Out Of
59 Countries Reviewed In Q208 — 6
Table: Projected Levels
(BRLbn) — 6
Table: Projected Levels
(US$bn) — 6
Key Issues — 7
Brazil
Commercial Banking SWOT — 9
Brazil Political
SWOT — 9
Brazil Economic SWOT — 10
Brazil Business Environment SWOT — 10
Changes To The
Commercial Banking Report — 11
The Global Financial Crisis
– Continued — 11
Table: Selected European Countries:
Projected Budget And Current Account, 2008 (as % of
GDP) — 13
Commercial Banking Business Environment
Rating — 18
Table: Brazil’s Commercial Banking
Business Environment Ratings — 18
Table: Latin
America’s Commercial Banking Business Environment
Ratings — 19
Bank Lending — 21
Lending
Overview — 21
Table: Lending Overview, 2006 And 2007
(BRLbn) — 21
Total Assets, Client Loans And Client
Deposits — 22
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client
Loans And Client Deposits (US$bn) — 22
Per-Capita
Deposits — 23
Table: Comparison Of Per Capita Deposits,
Late 2007 (US$) — 23
Country
Update — 24
Macroeconomic Trends And
Developments — 24
Table: Brazil – Macroeconomic
Activity, 2005-2013 — 26
Political
Outlook — 27
Industry Forecast
Scenario — 29
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections,
2007-2012 (%) — 29
Table: Projected Levels
(BRLbn) — 29
Table: Projected Levels
(US$bn) — 29
Comment On Developments Over Last
Year — 29
Comment On Forecasts — 30
Comment On Trends and Ratios — 30
Table: Comparison Of
Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios, Late 2007/ Early
2008 — 30
Banks’ Bond
Portfolios — 33
Table: Bond Portfolios, Late
2007 — 33
Competitive Landscape And
Protagonists — 35
Methodology — 36
Basis Of Projections — 37
Commercial Bank Business
Environment Rating — 37
Table: Commercial Banking Business
Environment Indicators And Rationale — 39
Table: Weighting
Of Indicators — 40
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