Table of Contents
Executive Summary — 5
Bulgaria Security
SWOT — 6
Bulgaria Defence Industry
SWOT — 7
Bulgaria Political SWOT — 7
Bulgaria Economic SWOT — 8
Bulgaria Business Environment
SWOT — 8
Political Overview — 9
Security Risk Analysis — 14
BMI’s Security
Ratings — 14
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Regional
Security Risk Ratings — 14
Table: Central And Eastern
Europe State Terrorism Vulnerability Index — 15
Regional
Security: Europe — 15
Overview — 15
International Terrorism — 17
Criminal
Activities — 18
Bulgaria’s Security Risk
Ratings — 19
Conflict Risk — 19
Terrorism Risk — 19
Physical Safety
Risk — 19
Security Overview — 20
Internal Security Situation — 20
Table: Regional Insurgent
Groups — 20
External Security
Situation — 21
Bilateral And Multilateral Security
Relations — 22
Defence Industry — 24
Armed Forces — 24
Table: Regional Armed Forces, 2007
(Including conscripted, ‘000) — 24
Modernisation
Programme — 25
International
Deployment — 26
Weapons Of Mass
Destruction — 27
Market Overview — 28
Industry Trends And Developments — 29
Table: Key Players
In Bulgaria’s Defence Sector — 30
Arms Trade
Overview — 31
Procurement Trends And
Developments — 31
Industry Forecast
Scenario — 33
Army Enlargements — 33
Government Expenditure — 33
Table: Bulgaria’s
Defence Sector, 2004-2012 (‘000 personnel, unless otherwise
stated) — 34
Macroeconomic Forecast
Scenario — 35
Table: Bulgaria – Macroeconomic
Activity, 2005-2012 — 40
Company
Profiles — 41
Arsenal — 41
Arcus — 42
Country Snapshot: Bulgaria Demographic
Data — 43
Section 1: Population — 43
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 — 43
Table:
Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 — 44
Section 2: Education
And Healthcare — 44
Table: Education,
2002-2005 — 44
Table: Vital Statistics,
2005-2030 — 44
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending
Power — 45
Table: Employment Indicators,
2001-2006 — 45
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012
(US$) — 45
Table: Average Annual Wages,
2000-2012 — 46
BMI Forecast
Modelling — 47
How We Generate Our Industry
Forecasts — 47
Defence Industry — 47
Sources — 48
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