Table of Contents
Executive Summary — 7
SWOT
Analysis — 9
Canada Political SWOT — 9
Canada Economic SWOT — 9
Canada Energy Market
Overview — 10
Global Oil Market
Outlook — 13
Storing Up Trouble — 13
Revised Forecasts — 15
Global Oil Market
Review — 17
One-Way Traffic — 17
Table: Global Oil Consumption (000b/d) — 20
12-Month
Demand Outlook — 20
Table: Global Oil Production
(000b/d) — 21
12-Month Supply
Outlook — 21
Longer-Term Supply And
Demand — 22
Oil Price Assumptions — 23
Table: Crude Price Assumptions 2008/2009 — 24
Table: Oil
Price Forecasts — 24
Global Oil Products Price
Outlook — 25
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions 2009
(US$/bbl) — 28
Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts
(US$/bbl) — 29
Global Oil Products Market
Review — 30
Regional Energy Market
Overview — 35
Oil Supply And
Demand — 35
Table: Developed Markets Oil Consumption
(000b/d) — 36
Table: Developed Markets Oil Production
(000b/d) — 37
Oil: Downstream — 38
Table: Developed Markets Oil Refining Capacity
(000b/d) — 38
Gas Supply And
Demand — 39
Table: Developed Markets Gas Consumption
(bcm) — 39
Table: Developed Markets Gas Production
(bcm) — 40
Liquefied Natural Gas — 41
Table: Developed Markets LNG Imports/(Exports) (bcm) — 41
Industry Forecast Scenario — 42
Oil And Gas
Reserves — 42
Oil Supply And
Demand — 42
Gas Supply And Demand — 43
LNG — 44
Refining And Oil Products
Trade — 46
Revenues/Import Costs — 46
Table: Canada Oil & Gas – Historical Data &
Forecasts — 47
Other Energy — 48
Table: Canada Other Energy – Historical Data &
Forecasts — 48
Key Risks To BMI’s Forecast
Scenario — 48
Long-Term Oil & Gas
Outlook — 49
Macroeconomic
Outlook — 50
Table: Canada – Economic
Activity — 51
Competitive
Landscape — 52
Table: Key Players – Canadian Oil &
Gas Sector — 53
Overview/State
Role — 54
Table: Key Upstream
Players — 56
Table: Key Downstream
Players — 57
Company Monitor — 58
EnCana – Summary — 58
Petro-Canada –
Summary — 60
ConocoPhillips –
Summary — 62
Chevron –
Summary — 64
Devon Energy –
Summary — 65
Syncrude –
Summary — 66
Suncor –
Summary — 66
Shell Canada –
Summary — 67
BP – Summary — 69
Husky – Summary — 70
Imperial Oil –
Summary — 72
StatoilHydro –
Summary — 73
Total –
Summary — 74
Murphy Oil –
Summary — 75
Nexen –
Summary — 75
Occidental –
Summary — 76
Gazprom –
Summary — 77
Others –
Summary — 77
Glossary of Terms — 81
Oil & Gas Ratings: Revised Methodology — 82
Introduction — 82
Ratings
Overview — 82
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment
Ratings: Structure — 83
Indicators — 84
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment
Upstream Ratings: Methodology — 84
Table: BMI Oil & Gas
Business Environment Downstream Ratings: Methodology — 85
Oil & Gas Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts — 87
Global Oil
Demand — 87
Table: Global Oil Demand
(000b/d) — 87
Table: Global Oil Production
(000b/d) — 88
Global Oil Supply — 88
Global Gas Demand — 89
Table: Global Gas Demand
(bcm) — 89
Global Gas Supply — 89
Table: Global Gas Production (bcm) — 90
Regional Oil
Demand — 91
Table: North America Oil Consumption
(000b/d) — 91
Regional Oil Supply — 91
Table: North America Oil Production (000b/d) — 91
Regional
Refining Capacity — 92
Table: North America Oil Refining
Capacity (000b/d) — 92
Regional Gas
Demand — 92
Table: North America Gas Consumption
(bcm) — 92
Regional Gas Supply — 93
Table: North America Gas Production (bcm) — 93
Canada
Country Overview — 93
Methodology & Risks To
Forecasts — 93
BMI Forecast
Modelling — 95
How we generate our industry
forecasts — 95
Energy Industry — 96
Cross checks — 96
Sources — 96
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