Abstract
Rapprochement with Taiwan continues to dominate China’s foreign policy
landscape – with recent announcements of direct flight, shipping and
postal services between the two countries – but the mainland has not
focused on this to the exclusion of other efforts to stake its claim as a
geopolitical power, and is ever-ready to strongly criticise US arms sales
to Taiwan. In Q408 China reiterated its friendship with Pakistan under
2005’s Treaty of Friendship, Co-operation and Good-neighbourly
Relations between the two nations, signing 12 memorandum’s of
understanding on economic co-operation and free trade, undertook
anti-terrorism manoeuvres with Indian forces, and sent a high-level
military delegation to Nepal. In the latter case, the meeting was phrased as
being part of normal relations between the two countries, although there
was talk of how China might help protect ‘Nepal’s sovereignty
and geographical unity’. China has also stated that it is willing to
boost military ties with Bahrain. Unrest in the Uighur
Muslim-dominated Xinjiang province in north-west China in the middle of the
year faded completely from view in Q408, as the economic situation in
China became the dominant threat to internal security, with a raft of
civil protests, by taxi drivers, laid off workers and other groups across
the country over recent months. China announced a 4trn yuan (US$590bn)
stimulus package in November, which it hopes will support the 200,000 new
jobs it needs to create each year for university and school leavers, as well
as stimulate domestic consumption as its export industry continues to
suffer from the economic downturn. A series of infrastructure and public
works at its heart could allay some of the distress citizens are feeling from
the fiscal climate. The Chinese arms industry is still booming, but if
there is any significant decline in economic growth this situation could
change. It has begun competing in the global defence market although as we
have said in previous reports arms companies are dogged by over-staffing,
inefficiencies and being based far from major manufacturing centres.
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