Table of Contents
Executive Summary — 6
Executive
Summary — 7
SWOT Analysis — 9
Czech
Republic Political SWOT — 9
Czech Republic Economic
SWOT — 9
Czech Republic Business Environment
SWOT — 10
Czech Republic Energy Market
Overview — 11
Global Oil Market
Outlook — 15
Storing Up Trouble — 15
Revised Forecasts — 17
Global Oil Market
Review — 19
One-Way Traffic — 19
Table: Global Oil Consumption (000b/d) — 22
12-Month
Demand Outlook — 22
Table: Global Oil Production
(000b/d) — 23
12-Month Supply
Outlook — 24
Longer-Term Supply And
Demand — 24
Oil Price Assumptions — 25
Table: Crude Price Assumptions 2008/2009 — 26
Table: Oil
Price Forecasts — 26
Global Oil Products Price
Outlook — 27
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions 2009
(US$/bbl) — 30
Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts
(US$/bbl) — 31
Global Oil Products Market
Review — 32
Regional Energy Market
Overview — 37
Oil Supply And
Demand — 37
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Oil Consumption
(000b/d) — 38
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Oil Production
(000b/d) — 39
Oil: Downstream — 40
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Oil Refining Capacity
(000b/d) — 40
Gas Supply And
Demand — 41
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Gas Consumption
(bcm) — 41
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Gas Production
(bcm) — 42
Liquefied Natural Gas — 43
Table: Central/Eastern Europe LNG Exports/(Imports)
(bcm) — 43
Business Environment
Ranking — 44
Central/Eastern Europe
Region — 44
Composite Scores — 44
Table: Regional Upstream Business Environment Rating — 45
Table: Regional Downstream Business Environment
Rating — 46
Upstream Scores — 46
Downstream Scores — 47
Czech Republic Upstream Rating
– Overview — 47
Czech Republic Upstream Rating
– Potential Returns — 47
Czech Republic Upstream
Rating – Risks to Potential Returns — 47
Czech
Republic Downstream Rating – Overview — 48
Czech
Republic Downstream Rating – Potential Returns — 48
Czech Republic Downstream Rating – Risks to Potential
Returns — 48
Business Environment — 49
Legal Framework — 49
Infrastructure — 50
Labour Force — 51
Foreign Investment Policy — 52
Tax
Regime — 52
Industry Forecast
Scenario — 54
Oil And Gas
Reserves — 54
Oil Supply And
Demand — 54
Gas Supply And Demand — 55
Refining and Oil Products Trade — 55
Revenues/Import
Costs — 55
Table: Czech Republic Oil & Gas –
Historical Data & Forecasts — 56
Other
Energy — 57
Table: Czech Republic Other Energy –
Historical Data & Forecasts — 59
Key Risks To BMI’s
Forecast Scenario — 59
Long-Term Oil & Gas
Outlook — 59
Macroeconomic
Outlook — 60
Table: Czech Republic – Economic
Activity — 62
Competitive
Landscape — 63
Table: Key Players – Czech Oil & Gas
Sector — 64
Overview/State Role — 64
Table: Key Upstream Player — 66
Table: Key Downstream
Players — 66
Company Monitor — 67
Unipetrol — 67
Shell Czech
Republic — 69
OMV CR — 71
Agip
Praha — 73
Moravské Naftové Doly
(MND) — 75
PKN Orlen –
Summary — 77
BP – Summary — 77
Carpathian Resources – Summary — 77
Gazprom –
Summary — 77
Glossary of Terms — 78
Oil & Gas Ratings: Revised Methodology — 79
Introduction — 79
Ratings
Overview — 79
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment
Ratings: Structure — 80
Indicators — 81
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment
Upstream Ratings: Methodology — 81
Table: BMI Oil & Gas
Business Environment Downstream Ratings: Methodology — 82
Oil & Gas Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts — 84
Global Oil
Demand — 84
Table: Global Oil Demand
(000b/d) — 84
Table: Global Oil Production
(000b/d) — 85
Global Oil Supply — 85
Global Gas Demand — 86
Table: Global Gas Demand
(bcm) — 86
Global Gas Supply — 86
Table: Global Gas Production (bcm) — 87
Regional Oil
Demand — 88
Table: CEE Oil Consumption
(000b/d) — 88
Regional Oil Supply — 89
Table: CEE Oil Production (000b/d) — 89
Regional Refining
Capacity — 90
Table: CEE Oil Refining Capacity
(000b/d) — 90
Regional Gas Demand — 91
Table: CEE Gas Consumption (bcm) — 91
Regional Gas
Supply — 92
Table: CEE Gas Production
(bcm) — 92
Czech Republic Country
Overview — 92
Methodology & Risks To
Forecasts — 93
BMI Forecast
Modelling — 94
How we generate our industry
forecasts — 94
Energy Industry — 95
Cross checks — 95
Sources — 95
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