Table of Contents
Executive Summary — 5
Table: Levels
(EURbn) — 5
Table: Levels (US$bn) — 5
Table: Levels At December 31 2007 — 5
Table: Annual Growth
Rate Projections, 2007-2012 (%) — 5
Table: Ranking Out Of
59 Countries Reviewed In Q208 — 6
Table: Projected Levels
(EURbn) — 6
Table: Projected Levels
(US$bn) — 6
Key Issues — 7
Greece
Commercial Banking SWOT — 10
Greece Political
SWOT — 10
Greece Economic SWOT — 11
Greece Business Environment SWOT — 11
Changes To The
Commercial Banking Report — 12
The Global Financial Crisis
– Continued — 12
Table: Selected European Countries
– Projected Budget And Current Account, 2008 (as % of
GDP) — 14
New Information From
Q209 — 17
Commercial Banking Business Environment
Rating — 19
Table: Greece’s Commercial Banking
Business Environment Ratings — 19
Table: Central And
Eastern Europe Commercial Banking Business Environment
Ratings — 20
Bank Lending — 22
Lending
Overview — 22
Table: Lending Overview
(EURbn) — 22
Total Assets, Client Loans And Client
Deposits — 23
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client
Loans And Client Deposits (US$bn) — 23
Per-Capita
Deposits — 24
Table: Comparison Of Per-Capita Deposits,
Late 2007 (US$) — 24
Country
Update — 25
Macroeconomic Trends And
Developments — 25
Greece And The Global Credit
Crunch — 25
Economic Activity — 26
Fiscal Policy — 27
Monetary
Policy — 29
Balance of Payments — 30
Table: Greece – Economic Activity — 32
Political
Outlook — 32
Industry Forecast
Scenario — 36
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections,
2007-2012 — 36
Table: Projected Levels
(EURbn) — 36
Table: Projected Levels
(US$bn) — 36
Comment On Developments Over Last
Year — 36
Comment On Forecasts — 37
Comment On Trends and Ratios — 38
Table: CEE –
Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios, Late 2007/Early
2008 — 38
Banks’ Bond
Portfolios — 41
Table: Bond Portfolios, Late
2007 — 41
Competitive Landscape And
Protagonists — 43
Methodology — 44
Basis Of Projections — 45
Commercial Bank Business
Environment Rating — 45
Table: Commercial Banking Business
Environment Indicators And Rationale — 47
Table: Weighting
Of Indicators — 48
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