Table of Contents
Executive Summary — 5
Table: Levels
(HUFbn) — 5
Table: Levels (US$bn) — 5
Table: Levels At December 31 2007 — 5
Table: Annual Growth
Rate Projections, 2007-2012 (%) — 5
Table: Ranking Out Of
59 Countries Reviewed In Q208 — 6
Table: Projected Levels
(HUFbn) — 6
Table: Projected Levels
(US$bn) — 6
Key Issues — 7
Hungary
Commercial Banking SWOT — 9
Hungary Political
SWOT — 9
Hungary Economic SWOT — 10
Hungary Business Environment SWOT — 10
Changes To The
Commercial Banking Report — 11
The Global Financial Crisis
– Continued — 11
Table: Selected European Countries
– Projected Budget And Current Account, 2008 (as % of
GDP) — 13
New Information From
Q209 — 16
Commercial Banking Business Environment
Rating — 17
Table: Poland’s Commercial Banking
Business Environment Ratings — 17
Table: Central And
Eastern Europe Commercial Banking Business Environment
Ratings — 18
Bank Lending — 20
Lending
Overview — 20
Table: Lending Overview
(HUFbn) — 20
Total Assets, Client Loans And Client
Deposits — 21
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client
Loans And Client Deposits (US$bn) — 21
Per-Capita
Deposits — 22
Table: Comparison Of Per-Capita Deposits,
Late 2007 (US$) — 22
Country
Update — 23
Macroeconomic Trends And
Developments — 23
Table: Hungary – Economic
Activity — 26
Domestic Politics — 26
Foreign Policy — 27
Industry Forecast
Scenario — 30
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections,
2007-2012 — 30
Table: Projected Levels
(HUFbn) — 30
Table: Projected Levels
(US$bn) — 30
Comment On Developments Over Last
Year — 30
Comment On Forecasts — 31
Comment On Trends and Ratios — 32
Table: CEE –
Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios, Late 2007/Early
2008 — 32
Banks’ Bond
Portfolios — 35
Table: Bond Portfolios, Late
2007 — 35
Competitive Landscape And
Protagonists — 37
Methodology — 39
Basis Of Projections — 40
Commercial Bank Business
Environment Rating — 40
Table: Commercial Banking Business
Environment Indicators And Rationale — 41
Table: Weighting
Of Indicators — 42
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