Table of Contents
Executive Summary — 5
Table: Levels
(IDRbn) — 5
Table: Levels (US$bn) — 5
Table: Levels At December 31 2007 — 5
Table: Annual Growth
Rate Projections, 2007-2012 (%) — 6
Table: Ranking Out Of
59 Countries Reviewed In Q208 — 6
Table: Projected Levels
(IDRbn) — 6
Table: Projected Levels
(US$bn) — 6
Key Issues — 7
Changes To
The Commercial Banking Report — 10
The Global Financial
Crisis – Continued — 10
Table: Selected European
Countries – Projected Budget And Current Account, 2008 (as % of
GDP) — 12
New Information From
Q209 — 15
Islamic Finance – Quo
Vadis? — 16
Introduction — 16
Some
Hard Numbers — 16
Some More Hard
Numbers — 18
Under-Recognised
Challenges — 20
The Global Financial
Crisis — 21
What Really Matters: Indicators To Watch In
2009 — 22
Conclusion — 24
Commercial
Banking SWOT — 25
Indonesia Commercial Banking
SWOT — 25
Indonesia Political
SWOT — 26
Indonesia Economic SWOT — 27
Indonesia Business Environment SWOT — 28
Commercial
Banking Business Environment Rating — 29
Table:
Poland’s Commercial Banking Business Environment
Ratings — 29
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business
Environment Ratings — 30
Bank
Lending — 32
Lending Overview — 32
Table: Lending Overview (IDRbn) — 32
Total Assets, Client
Loans And Client Deposits — 33
Table: Comparison Of Total
Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits (US$bn) — 33
Per-Capita Deposits — 34
Table: Comparison Of Per-Capita
Deposits, Late 2007 (US$) — 34
Political
Outlook — 35
Domestic Politics — 35
Macroeconomic Trends And Developments — 38
Table:
Indonesia – Economic Activity — 40
Industry Forecast
Scenario — 42
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections,
2007-2012 (%) — 42
Table: Projected Levels
(IDRbn) — 42
Table: Projected Levels
(US$bn) — 42
Comment On Developments Over Last
Year — 42
Comment On Forecasts — 43
Comment On Trends and Ratios — 44
Table: Comparison Of
Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios, Late 2007/Early
2008 — 44
Banks’ Bond
Portfolios — 47
Table: Bond Portfolios, Late
2007 — 47
Competitive Landscape And
Protagonists — 49
Country Snapshot: Indonesia Demographic
Data — 51
Section 1: Population — 51
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 — 51
Table:
Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 — 52
Section 2: Education
And Healthcare — 52
Table: Education,
2000-2005 — 52
Table: Vital Statistics,
2005-2030 — 52
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending
Power — 53
Table: Employment Indicators,
2001-2006 — 53
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2010
(US$) — 53
Table: Average Annual Manufacturing Wages,
2000-2012 (IDR) — 54
Methodology — 55
Basis Of Projections — 56
Commercial Bank Business
Environment Rating — 56
Table: Commercial Banking Business
Environment Indicators And Rationale — 58
Table: Weighting
Of Indicators — 59
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