Table of Contents
Executive Summary — 5 Iraq Security
SWOT — 5 Iraq Defence Industry
SWOT — 6 Iraq Political SWOT — 6 Iraq
Economic Industry SWOT — 7 Iraq Business Environment
SWOT — 7 Political Overview — 8
Domestic Political Outlook — 8 Foreign
Relations — 11 Security Risk
Analysis — 12 BMI’s Security
Ratings — 12 Table: Middle East And Africa Defence And
Security Ratings — 12 Table: Middle East And North Africa
State Terrorism Vulnerability Index — 13 Regional
Security: The Middle East And North Africa — 13 Iraq
– Security Risk Ratings — 15 Conflict
Risk — 16 Terrorism Risk — 16 Physical
Safety Risk — 16 Security
Overview — 18 Internal Security
Situation — 18 Table: Iraq’s Insurgent
Groups — 18 Latest Developments — 19
External Security Situation — 21 Latest
Developments — 22 Armed Forces And Government
Spending — 23 Armed Forces — 23 Table:
Regional Armed Forces, 2007 (including conscripted,
‘000) — 23 Current Strength — 23
Historical Strength — 24 Weapons Of Mass
Destruction — 25 Market Overview — 26
Arms Trade Overview — 26 Procurement Trends And
Developments — 26 Industry Forecast
Scenario — 29 Table: Iraq’s Defence Sector,
2005-2012 (‘000) — 29 Key Risks To BMI’s
Forecast Scenario — 30 Macroeconomic
Forecast — 30 Table: Iraq – Macroeconomic Activity,
2006-2013 — 32 Company Profile — 33
Dabin Group — 33 Country Snapshot: Iraq Demographic
Data — 34 Section 1: Population — 34
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 — 34 Table:
Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 — 35 Section 2: Education
And Healthcare — 35 Table: Education,
2002-2005 — 35 Table: Vital Statistics,
2005-2030 — 35 Section 3: Labour Market And Spending
Power — 36 Table: Employment Indicators,
1999-2004 — 36 BMI Forecast
Modelling — 37 How We Generate Our Industry
Forecasts — 37 Defence Industry — 37
Sources — 38
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