Table of Contents
Executive Summary — 5
Table: Levels
(JPYbn) — 5
Table: Levels (US$bn) — 5
Table: Levels At December 31 2007 — 5
Table: Annual Growth
Rate Projections, 2007-2012 (%) — 5
Table: Ranking Out Of
59 Countries Reviewed In Q208 — 6
Table: Projected Levels
(JPYbn) — 6
Table: Projected Levels
(US$bn) — 6
Key Issues — 7
Japan
Commercial Banking SWOT — 9
Japan Political
SWOT — 9
Japan Economic SWOT — 10
Changes To The Commercial Banking Report — 11
The Global
Financial Crisis – Continued — 11
Table: Selected
European Countries – Projected Budget And Current Account, 2008 (as % of
GDP) — 13
New Information From
Q209 — 16
Commercial Banking Business Environment
Rating — 17
Table: Japan’s Commercial Banking
Business Environment Ratings — 17
Table: Asia Commercial
Banking Business Environment Ratings — 18
Bank
Lending — 20
Lending Overview — 20
Table: Lending Overview (JPYbn) — 20
Total Assets, Client
Loans And Client Deposits — 21
Table: Comparison Of Total
Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits (US$bn) — 21
Per-Capita Deposits — 22
Table: Comparison Of Per-Capita
Deposits, Late 2007 (US$) — 22
Country
Update — 23
Political Outlook — 23
Macroeconomic Trends And Developments — 25
Monetary
Policy — 27
Table: Japan – Macroeconomic Forecasts,
2008-2012 — 29
Industry Forecast
Scenario — 30
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections,
2007-2012 (%) — 30
Table: Projected Levels
(JPYbn) — 30
Table: Projected Levels
(US$bn) — 30
Comment On Developments Over Last
Year — 30
Comment On Forecasts — 31
Comment On Trends and Ratios — 32
Table: Comparison Of
Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios, Late 2007/Early
2008 — 32
Banks’ Bond
Portfolios — 35
Table: Bond Portfolios, Late
2007 — 35
Competitive Landscape And
Protagonists — 37
Methodology — 38
Basis Of Projections — 39
Commercial Bank Business
Environment Rating — 39
Table: Commercial Banking Business
Environment Indicators And Rationale — 41
Table: Weighting
Of Indicators — 42
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