Table of Contents
Executive Summary — 5
Table: Levels
(LVLbn) — 5
Table: Levels (US$bn) — 5
Table: Levels At December 31 2007 — 5
Table: Annual Growth
Rate Projections, 2007-2012 (%) — 5
Table: Ranking Out Of
59 Countries Reviewed In Q208 — 6
Table: Projected Levels
(LVLbn) — 6
Table: Projected Levels
(US$bn) — 6
Key Issues — 7
Latvia
Commercial Banking SWOT — 9
Latvia Political
SWOT — 9
Latvia Economic SWOT — 10
Business Environment SWOT — 10
Changes To The Commercial
Banking Report — 11
The Global Financial Crisis –
Continued — 11
Table: Selected European Countries –
Projected Budget And Current Account, 2008 (as % of
GDP) — 13
New Information From
Q209 — 16
Commercial Banking Business Environment
Rating — 17
Table: Latvia’s Commercial Banking
Business Environment Ratings — 17
Table: Central And
Eastern Europe Commercial Banking Business Environment
Ratings — 18
Bank Lending — 20
Table:
Lending Overview, 2006 and 2007 (LVLbn) — 20
Total Assets,
Client Loans And Client Deposits — 21
Table: Comparison Of
Total Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits
(US$bn) — 21
Per-Capita Deposits — 22
Table: Comparison Of Per-Capita Deposits, Late 2007
(US$) — 22
Country Update — 23
Macroeconomic Trends And Developments — 23
Table: Latvia
– Economic Activity — 24
Political
Outlook — 25
Industry Forecast
Scenario — 26
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections,
2007-2012 — 26
Table: Projected Levels
(LVLbn) — 26
Table: Projected Levels
(US$bn) — 26
Comment On Developments Over Last
Year — 26
Comment On Forecasts — 27
Comment On Trends and Ratios — 28
Table: CEE –
Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios, Late 2007/Early
2008 — 28
Banks’ Bond
Portfolios — 31
Table: Bond Portfolios, Late
2007 — 31
Competitive Landscape And
Protagonists — 33
Methodology — 35
Basis Of Projections — 36
Commercial Bank Business
Environment Rating — 36
Table: Commercial Banking Business
Environment Indicators And Rationale — 38
Table: Weighting
Of Indicators — 39
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