Table of Contents
Executive Summary — 5 Libya Security
SWOT — 6 Libya Defence Industry
SWOT — 6 Political Overview — 7
Security Risk Analysis — 9 BMI’s Security
Ratings — 9 Table: Middle East And Africa Defence And
Security Ratings — 9 Table: Middle East And North Africa
State Terrorism Vulnerability Index — 10 Regional
Security: The Middle East And North Africa — 10
Libya’s Security Risk Ratings — 12 Conflict
Risk — 13 Terrorism Risk — 13 Physical
Safety Risk — 14 Security
Overview — 15 Internal Security
Situation — 15 Table: Libyan Insurgent
Groups — 16 Latest Developments — 16
External Security Situation — 17 Latest
Developments — 18 Armed Forces And Government
Spending — 20 Armed Forces — 20 Table:
Regional Armed Forces, 2007 (including conscripted,
‘000) — 20 Current Strength — 20
Historical Strength — 21
Equipment — 22 International
Deployments — 22 Table: International
Deployments — 22 Weapons Of Mass
Destruction — 23 Market Overview — 25
Industry Trends And Developments — 26 Latest
Developments — 28 Procurement Trends And
Developments — 28 Industry Forecast
Scenario — 30 Table: Libya’s Army Enlargements,
2004-2012 (‘000) — 30 Table: Libya’s
Government Defence Expenditure, 2005-2012 — 31 Key Risks
To BMI’s Forecast Scenario — 32 Macroeconomic
Forecast Scenario — 32 Table: Libya – Macroeconomic
Activity, 2006-2013 — 34 Country Snapshot: Libya
Demographic Data — 35 Section 1:
Population — 35 Table: Demographic Indicators,
2005-2030 — 35 Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown,
2005-2030 — 36 Section 2: Education And
Healthcare — 36 Table: Education,
2002-2005 — 36 Table: Vital Statistics,
2005-2030 — 36 Section 3: Labour Market And Spending
Power — 37 Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012
(US$) — 37 BMI Forecast Modelling — 38
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts — 38 Defence
Industry — 38 Sources — 39
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