Table of Contents
Executive Summary — 5
SWOT
Analysis — 7
Ukraine Political
SWOT — 7
Ukraine Economic SWOT — 7
Ukraine Power Business Environment SWOT — 8
Industry
Overview — 9
Global — 9
Table: Global
Summary, 2006-2013 — 9
Central And Eastern
Europe — 10
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Power
Generation, 2006-2013 (twh) — 11
Table: Central And
Eastern Europe Thermal Power Generation, 2006-2013
(twh) — 12
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Primary
Energy Demand, 2006-2013 (mn toe) — 13
Table: Central And
Eastern Europe Gas Consumption, 2006-2013 (bcm) — 14
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Coal Consumption, 2006-2013 (mn
toe) — 15
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Nuclear Energy
Consumption, 2006-2013 (twh) — 16
Market Overview –
Ukraine — 17
Primary Energy
Demand — 17
Power Generation — 17
Power Consumption — 18
Regulation And
Competition — 18
Pricing — 20
Power
Transmission — 20
Business Environment
Rankings — 21
Central And Eastern
Europe — 21
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Power
Business Environment Rating — 21
Ukraine Power
Rating — 22
Limits To Potential
Returns — 22
Risks To Realisation Of
Returns — 22
Legal Framework — 23
Infrastructure — 24
Labour Force — 25
Foreign Investment Policy — 26
Tax
Regime — 27
Security Risk — 28
Industry Forecast Scenario — 29
Ukraine Power
Outlook — 29
Generation — 29
Gas-Fired — 29
Oil-Fired — 29
Coal-Fired — 29
Nuclear Energy — 30
Hydro-Electric — 30
Renewable
Energy — 30
Power Costs — 31
Transmission — 31
Table: Ukraine’s Power Sector,
2006-2013 — 32
Table: Ukraine’s Thermal Power
Sector, 2006-2013 — 33
Table: Ukraine’s Non-Thermal
Power Sector, 2006-2013 — 34
Table: Ukraine’s Power
Costs, 2006-2013 — 34
Assumptions And
Methodology — 35
Key Risks To BMI’s Forecast
Scenario — 35
Long-Term Power
Outlook — 35
Macroeconomic
Outlook — 35
Table: Ukraine – Economic Activity,
2004-2013 — 40
Power Outlook: Long-Term
Forecasts — 41
Global Snapshot — 41
Table: Global Summary, 2011-2018 — 41
Regional
Outlook — 41
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Electricity
Generation, 2011-2018 (twh) — 42
Table: Central And
Eastern Europe Primary Energy Demand, 2011-2018 (mn
toe) — 43
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Thermal Power
Generation, 2011-2018 (twh) — 44
Table: Central And
Eastern Europe Hydro-Electric Generation (twh) — 45
Table:
Central And Eastern Europe And Central Asia Nuclear Generation
(twh) — 46
Ukraine Country
Overview — 46
Methodology And Risks To
Forecasts — 46
Competitive
Landscape — 48
Ukrenergo — 49
AES — 49
Appendices — 50
Country
Snapshot: Ukraine Demographic Data — 50
Section 1:
Population — 50
Table: Demographic Indicators,
2005-2030 — 50
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown,
2005-2030 — 51
Section 2: Education And
Healthcare — 51
Table: Education,
2002-2005 — 51
Table: Vital Statistics,
2005-2030 — 51
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending
Power — 52
Table: Employment Indicators,
2001-2006 — 52
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012
(US$) — 52
Table: Average Annual Wages,
2000-2012 — 53
Regional Demographic
Data — 54
Table: Average Annual Wages, 1995-2004 (US$
PPP) — 54
Table: Population Growth,
1995-2030 — 55
Table: Per Capita Household Spending,
1995-2004 (US$) — 56
Table: Per Capita Private
Consumption, 1995-2004 (US$ PPP) — 57
Table: GDP Growth,
1995-2010 (US$bn) — 58
BMI Forecast
Modelling — 59
How We Generate Our Industry
Forecasts — 59
Power Industry — 59
Cross Checks — 60
Sources — 60
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