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Market Research Report

Mongolia Mining Report Q3 2009

Published by Business Monitor International Contact us : +1-860-674-8796
Published 2009/07 Content info Pages: 48
Product code 94505
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Abstract

Mongolia’s mining industry has great potential. Its mineral resources are largely unexplored and
unexploited. That said, the exploration that has been carried out to date has found sizable reserves of
coal, copper, fluorspar and gold. Full scale extraction of these resources has occurred at a number of
mines. In total, about 80 types of minerals have been discovered in Mongolia. However, the biggest
drawback to foreign investment remains regulatory issues. In May 2009, the Mongolian government
was forced to defend itself in the Frankfurt Court of International Arbitration, after it was sued for
US$1bn by Russian mining company Altan Dornod Mongol. As reported by Mongol News, the
company accuses the Mongolian authorities of taking excessive taxation from Russian investments,
claiming that the 68% windfall tax is against international law as Mongolia and Russia have signed a
bilateral agreement to avoid double taxation for companies operating between the territories. The
Mongolian Taxation Authority claims that Altan Dornod Mongol owes MNT56bn (US$39.6mn) and
has subsequently shutdown the company’s bank accounts and is threatening to confiscate its mining
licenses.
Meanwhile, BMI remains concerned about ongoing delays to the finalization of what will be a
landmark agreement over drilling rights at the Oyu Tolgoi gold and copper mine, although we expect
the deal to be finalised in H109, with a resultant surge in FDI inflows through the remainder of 2009
and 2010. Indeed, the importance which Oyu Tolgoi, and the underlying legal contract between the
government and Anglo-Australian Rio Tinto and Canada’s Ivanhoe will play for Mongolia’s growth
dynamics cannot be downplayed. As the biggest foreign investment project in Mongolia’s history, we
expect the benchmark mining agreement to not only increase investment inflows in the short term, but
also serve as the framework upon which future projects will be based.
Yet, in late April the Democratic Party, which is a partner in Mongolia’s coalition government,
announced its reservations about the draft investment agreement governing the project. Though most
legislators in Ulan Bator remain keen on finalising the landmark mining deal, ongoing disagreements
within parliament continue to obstruct conclusion of the agreement.
Key participants in the mining sector include: Centerra Gold, Erdene Gold, Ivanhoe Mines, QGX,
Solomon Resources, and South Gobi Energy Resources (a subsidiary of Ivanhoe Mines). Key export
markets include China, Canada, Japan, South Korea and the US.

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