Table of Contents
Executive Summary — 7
SWOT
Analysis — 9
Russia Political SWOT — 9
Russia Economic SWOT — 10
Russia Business Environment
SWOT — 11
Russia Energy Market
Overview — 12
Regional Energy Market
Overview — 16
Oil Supply & Demand — 16
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Oil Consumption
(000b/d) — 17
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Oil Production
(000b/d) — 18
Oil: Downstream — 19
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Oil Refining Capacity
(000b/d) — 19
Gas Supply & Demand — 20
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Gas Consumption (bcm) — 20
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Gas Production (bcm) — 21
Liquefied Natural Gas — 22
Table: Central/Eastern Europe
LNG Exports/(Imports) (bcm) — 22
Business Environment
Ranking — 23
Central/Eastern Europe
Region — 23
Composite Scores — 23
Table: Regional Upstream Business Environment Rating — 24
Table: Regional Downstream Business Environment
Rating — 25
Upstream Scores — 25
Downstream Scores — 26
Russia Upstream Rating –
Overview — 26
Russia Upstream Rating – Potential
Returns — 26
Russia Upstream Rating – Risks to
Potential Returns — 26
Russia Downstream Rating –
Overview — 27
Russia Downstream Rating – Potential
Returns — 27
Russia Downstream Rating – Risks to
Potential Returns — 27
Business
Environment — 28
Legal Framework — 28
Infrastructure — 29
Labour Force — 30
Foreign Investment Policy — 31
Tax
Regime — 31
Security Risk — 32
Industry Forecast Scenario — 33
Oil and Gas
Reserves — 33
Oil Supply and
Demand — 33
Gas Supply and Demand — 34
LNG — 35
Refining and Oil Products
Trade — 36
Revenues/Import Costs — 36
Russia Oil & Gas – Historical Data & Forecasts — 37
Other Energy — 38
Russia Other Energy – Historical
Data & Forecasts — 40
Key Risks To BMI’s Forecast
Scenario — 40
Long-Term Oil & Gas
Outlook — 40
Macroeconomic
Outlook — 41
Table: Russia – Economic
Activity — 42
Competitive
Landscape — 43
Executive Summary — 43
Table: Key Domestic & Foreign Companies in the Russian Oil and Gas
Sector — 44
Overview/State Role — 44
Table: Key Upstream Players — 48
Key Downstream
Players — 49
Company Monitor — 50
Gazprom — 50
Gazprom Neft (formerly
Sibneft) — 57
Rosneft — 60
Lukoil — 65
TNK-BP — 70
Tatneft — 75
Total — 77
Imperial
Energy — 80
Surgutneftegaz –
Summary — 83
Russneft –
Summary — 83
Novatek –
Summary — 84
ConocoPhillips –
Summary — 85
Shell –
Summary — 85
Itera –
Summary — 86
ExxonMobil –
Summary — 86
Transneft –
Summary — 87
Sakhalin Energy –
Summary — 89
Wintershall –
Summary — 89
Sibir Energy –
Summary — 90
BP – Summary — 91
Lundin Petroleum – Summary — 91
Halliburton –
Summary — 92
Others –
Summary — 92
Glossary of Terms — 94
Oil & Gas Ratings: Revised Methodology — 95
Introduction — 95
Ratings
Overview — 95
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment
Ratings: Structure — 96
Indicators — 96
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment
Upstream Ratings: Methodology — 96
Table: BMI Oil & Gas
Business Environment Downstream Ratings: Methodology — 97
Oil & Gas Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts — 99
Regional Oil
Demand — 99
Table: CEE Oil Consumption
(000b/d) — 99
Regional Oil
Supply — 100
Table: CEE Oil Production
(000b/d) — 100
Regional Refining
Capacity — 101
Table: CEE Oil Refining Capacity
(000b/d) — 101
Regional Gas
Demand — 102
Table: CEE Gas Consumption
(bcm) — 102
Regional Gas Supply — 103
Table: CEE Gas Production (bcm) — 103
Russia Country
Overview — 103
Methodology & Risks To
Forecasts — 104
BMI Forecast
Modelling — 104
How we generate our industry
forecasts — 104
Energy Industry — 105
Cross checks — 105
Sources — 105
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