Table of Contents
Executive Summary — 5 SWOT
Analysis — 7 Libya Security SWOT — 7
Political Overview — 9 Security Risk
Analysis — 11 BMI’s Security
Ratings — 11 Table: Middle East And Africa Defence And
Security Ratings — 11 Table: Middle East And North Africa
State Terrorism Vulnerability Index — 12 City Terrorism
Rating — 12 Methodological
Overview — 13 Table: Methodology — 14
Table: BMI’s Middle East And North Africa City Terrorism
Index — 15 Libya’s Security Risk
Ratings — 15 Conflict Risk — 16
Terrorism Risk — 16 Physical Safety
Risk — 17 Middle East And North Africa Security
Overview — 18 Domestic Security
Overview — 22 Internal Security
Situation — 22 Table: Libyan Insurgent
Groups — 23 Latest Developments — 23
External Security Situation — 24 Latest
Developments — 25 Armed Forces and Government
Spending — 27 Armed Forces — 27 Table:
Regional Armed Forces, 2007 (including conscripted,
‘000) — 27 Current Strength — 27
Historical Strength — 28
Equipment — 29 International
Deployments — 29 Table: International
Deployments — 29 Weapons Of Mass
Destruction — 30 Market Overview — 32
Industry Trends And Developments — 33 Latest
Developments — 35 Procurement Trends And
Developments — 35 Industry Forecast
Scenario — 38 Table: Libya’s Army Enlargements,
2004-2012 (‘000) — 38 Table: Libya’s
Government Defence Expenditure, 2005-2012 — 39 Key Risks
To BMI’s Forecast Scenario — 40 Macroeconomic
Forecast Scenario — 40 Table: Libya – Economic
Activity, 2006-2013 — 42 Country Snapshot: Libya
Demographic Data — 43 Section 1:
Population — 43 Table: Demographic Indicators,
2005-2030 — 43 Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown,
2005-2030 — 44 Section 2: Education And
Healthcare — 44 Table: Education,
2002-2005 — 44 Table: Vital Statistics,
2005-2030 — 44 Section 3: Labour Market And Spending
Power — 45 Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012
(US$) — 45 BMI Forecast Modelling — 46
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts — 46 Defence
Industry — 46 Sources — 47
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