Table of Contents
Executive Summary — 7
Azerbaijan Energy Market
Overview — 9
Regional Energy Market
Overview — 11
Oil Supply & Demand — 11
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Oil Consumption
(000b/d) — 12
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Oil Production
(000b/d) — 13
Oil: Downstream — 14
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Oil Refining Capacity
(000b/d) — 14
Gas Supply & Demand — 15
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Gas Consumption (bcm) — 15
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Gas Production (bcm) — 16
Liquefied Natural Gas — 17
Table: Central/Eastern Europe
LNG Exports/(Imports) (bcm) — 17
Business Environment
Ranking — 18
Central/Eastern Europe
Region — 18
Composite Scores — 18
Table: Regional Upstream Business Environment Rating — 19
Table: Regional Downstream Business Environment
Rating — 20
Upstream Scores — 20
Downstream Scores — 21
Azerbaijan Upstream Rating –
Overview — 21
Azerbaijan Upstream Rating – Potential
Returns — 21
Azerbaijan Upstream Rating – Risks To
Potential Returns — 21
Azerbaijan Downstream Rating
– Overview — 22
Azerbaijan Downstream Rating –
Potential Returns — 22
Azerbaijan Downstream Rating
– Risks To Potential Returns — 22
Business
Environment — 23
Legal Framework — 23
Infrastructure — 24
Labour Force — 25
Foreign Investment Policy — 26
Tax
Regime — 27
Operational Risk — 28
Industry Forecast Scenario — 29
Oil & Gas
Reserves — 29
Oil Supply & Demand — 29
Gas Supply & Demand — 30
Refining & Oil Products
Trade — 32
Revenues/Import Costs — 32
Table: Azerbaijan Oil & Gas – Historical Data &
Forecasts — 33
Other Energy — 34
Table: Azerbaijan Other Energy – Historical Data &
Forecasts — 34
Key Risks To BMI’s Forecast
Scenario — 35
Long-Term Oil & Gas
Outlook — 35
Economic Outlook — 36
Table: Azerbaijan – Economic Activity — 38
Competitive Landscape — 39
Table: Key Domestic & Foreign
Companies — 40
Overview/State
Role — 40
Table: Key Upstream
Players — 43
Table: Downstream
Player — 43
Company Monitor — 44
Socar — 44
BP Azerbaijan — 49
StatoilHydro — 53
Lukoil
Azerbaijan — 55
ExxonMobil –
Summary — 57
Devon Energy –
Summary — 57
Eni – Summary — 57
Inpex – Summary — 57
Chevron –
Summary — 57
Itochu/Delta Hess –
Summary — 58
TPAO – Summary — 58
Total – Summary — 58
OVL –
Summary — 58
KNOC – Summary — 59
GDF Suez – Summary — 59
Glossary of
Terms — 60
Oil & Gas Ratings: Revised
Methodology — 61
Introduction — 61
Ratings Overview — 61
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business
Environment Ratings: Structure — 62
Indicators — 63
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment
Upstream Ratings: Methodology — 63
Table: BMI Oil & Gas
Business Environment Downstream Ratings: Methodology — 64
Oil & Gas Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts — 66
Regional Oil
Demand — 66
Table: CEE Oil Consumption
(000b/d) — 66
Regional Oil Supply — 67
Table: CEE Oil Production (000b/d) — 67
Regional Refining
Capacity — 68
Table: CEE Oil Refining Capacity
(000b/d) — 68
Regional Gas Demand — 69
Table: CEE Gas Consumption (bcm) — 69
Regional Gas
Supply — 70
Table: CEE Gas Production
(bcm) — 70
Azerbaijan Country
Overview — 70
Methodology & Risks To
Forecasts — 71
BMI Forecast
Modelling — 72
How we generate our industry
forecasts — 72
Energy Industry — 73
Cross checks — 73
Sources — 73
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