Table of Contents
Executive Summary — 5 SWOT
Analysis — 7 Brazil Political SWOT — 7
Brazil Economic SWOT — 8 Brazil Business Environment
SWOT — 9 Industry Overview — 10
Global — 10 Table: Global Summary,
2006-2013 — 10 Latin America — 11
Table: Latin America Power Generation, 2006-2013
(twh) — 12 Table: Latin America Thermal Power Generation,
2006-2013 (twh) — 12 Table: Latin America Primary Energy
Demand, 2006-2013 (mn toe) — 13 Table: Latin America Gas
Consumption, 2006-2013 (bcm) — 14 Table: Latin America
Coal Consumption, 2006-2013 (mn toe) — 15 Table: Latin
America Nuclear Energy Consumption, 2006-2013 (twh) — 16
Market Overview – Brazil — 17 Primary Energy
Demand — 17 Power Generation — 17
Power Consumption — 19 Regulation And
Competition — 19 Pricing — 20 Power
Transmission — 21 Business Environment
Rankings — 22 Latin America — 22
Table: Latin America Power Business Environment
Ratings — 22 Brazil Power Rating — 23
Limits Of Potential Returns — 23 Risks To Realisation Of
Returns — 23 Legal Framework — 24
Infrastructure — 25 Labour Force — 26
Foreign Investment Policy — 27 Tax
Regime — 28 Security Risk — 29
Industry Forecast Scenario — 30 Brazil Power
Outlook — 30 Generation — 30
Gas-Fired — 30 Oil-Fired — 31
Coal-Fired — 31 Nuclear Energy — 31
Hydro-Electric — 32 Renewable
Energy — 34 Power Costs — 34
Transmission — 34 Table: Brazil Power Sector,
2006-2013 — 35 Table: Brazil Thermal Power,
2006-2013 — 36 Table: Brazil Non-Thermal Power,
2006-2013 — 37 Table: Brazil Power Costs,
2006-2013 — 37 Assumptions And
Methodology — 38 Key Risks To BMI’s Forecast
Scenario — 38 Long-Term Power
Outlook — 38 Macroeconomic
Outlook — 39 Table: Brazil Economic Activity,
2005-2013 — 41 Competitive
Landscape — 42 Operador Nacional do Sistema Elétrico
(ONS) – Summary — 42 Eletrobras –
Summary — 42 Tractebel Energia –
Summary — 43 Company Monitor — 44
Eletrobras — 44 Power Outlook – Long-Term
Forecasts — 46 Global Snapshot — 46
Table: Global Summary, 2011-2018 — 46 Latin
America — 46 Table: Latin America Electricity Generation,
2011-2018 (twh) — 47 Table: Latin America Primary Energy
Demand, 2011-2018 (mn toe) — 47 Table: Latin America
Thermal Power Generation, 2011-2018 (twh) — 48 Table:
Latin America Hydro-Electric Generation, 2011-2018
(twh) — 48 Table: Latin America Nuclear Generation,
2011-2018 (twh) — 49 Brazil Country
Overview — 49 Methodology And Risks To
Forecasts — 49 Country Snapshot: Brazil Demographic
Data — 51 Section 1: Population — 51
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 — 51 Table:
Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 — 52 Section 2: Education
And Healthcare — 52 Table: Education,
2000-2003 — 52 Table: Vital Statistics,
2005-2030 — 52 Section 3: Labour Market And Spending
Power — 53 Table: Employment Indicators,
1999-2004 — 53 Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012
(US$) — 53 Table: Average Annual Wages,
1996-2002 — 54 BMI Forecast
Modelling — 55 How We Generate Our Industry
Forecasts — 55 Power Industry — 55
Cross Checks — 56 Sources — 56
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