Table of Contents
Executive Summary — 5
SWOT
Analysis — 7
Bulgaria Security
SWOT — 7
Bulgaria Defence Industry
SWOT — 8
Bulgaria Political SWOT — 9
Bulgaria Economic SWOT — 9
Bulgaria Business Environment
SWOT — 10
Political Overview — 11
Political Outlook — 11
Security Risk
Analysis — 13
BMI’s Security
Ratings — 13
Table: Europe Regional Security Risk
Ratings — 13
Table: Europe State Terrorism Vulnerability
Index — 14
City Terrorism Rating — 15
Methodological Overview — 16
Table:
Methodology — 17
Table: BMI’s Central And Eastern
Europe And Central Asia City Terrorism Index — 17
Bulgaria’s Security Risk Ratings — 19
State
Risk — 19
Terrorism Risk — 19
Criminal
Risk — 19
Europe Regional Security
Overview — 20
Security Overview — 26
Internal Security Situation — 26
Table: Regional Insurgent
Groups — 26
External Security
Situation — 27
Bilateral And Multilateral Security
Relations — 28
Armed Forces And Government
Expenditure — 30
Armed Forces — 30
Table: Regional Armed Forces, 2007 (Including conscripted,
‘000) — 30
Modernisation
Programme — 31
International
Deployment — 33
Weapons Of Mass
Destruction — 33
Market Overview — 34
Industry Trends And Developments — 35
Table: Key Players
In Bulgaria’s Defence Sector 2008 — 36
Arms Trade
Overview — 37
Procurement Trends And
Developments — 37
Industry Forecast
Scenario — 39
Army Enlargements — 39
Government Expenditure — 39
Table: Bulgaria’s
Defence Sector, 2004-2012 (‘000 personnel, unless otherwise
stated) — 40
Macroeconomic
Forecast — 41
Table: Bulgaria – Economic
Activity — 43
Company Profiles — 44
Arsenal — 44
Arcus — 45
Country
Snapshot: Bulgaria Demographic Data — 46
Section 1:
Population Source: UN Population Division — 46
Table:
Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 — 46
Table: Rural/Urban
Breakdown, 2005-2030 — 47
Section 2: Education And
Healthcare — 47
Table: Education,
2002-2005 — 47
Table: Vital Statistics,
2005-2030 — 47
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending
Power — 48
Table: Employment Indicators,
2001-2006 — 48
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012
(US$) — 49
Table: Average Annual Wages,
2000-2012 — 50
BMI Forecast
Modelling — 51
How We Generate Our Industry
Forecasts — 51
Defence Industry — 51
Sources — 52
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