Table of Contents
Executive Summary — 7
SWOT
Analysis — 9
Bulgaria Political
SWOT — 9
Bulgaria Economic SWOT — 10
Romania Business Environment SWOT — 11
Bulgarian Energy
Market Overview — 12
Regional Energy Market
Overview — 15
Oil Supply & Demand — 15
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Oil Consumption
(000b/d) — 16
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Oil Production
(000b/d) — 17
Oil: Downstream — 18
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Oil Refining Capacity
(000b/d) — 18
Gas Supply & Demand — 19
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Gas Consumption (bcm) — 19
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Gas Production (bcm) — 20
Liquefied Natural Gas — 21
Table: Central/Eastern Europe
LNG Exports/(Imports) (bcm) — 21
Business Environment
Ranking — 22
Central/Eastern Europe
Region — 22
Composite Scores — 22
Table: Regional Upstream Business Environment Rating — 23
Table: Regional Downstream Business Environment
Rating — 24
Upstream Scores — 24
Downstream Scores — 25
Bulgaria Upstream Rating –
Overview — 25
Bulgaria Upstream Rating – Potential
Returns — 25
Bulgaria Upstream Rating – Risks to
Potential Returns — 25
Bulgaria Downstream Rating –
Overview — 26
Bulgaria Downstream Rating – Potential
Returns — 26
Bulgaria Downstream Rating – Risks to
Potential Returns — 26
Business
Environment — 27
Legal Framework — 27
Infrastructure — 28
Labour Force — 29
Foreign Investment Policy — 30
Tax
Regime — 31
Security Risk — 32
Industry Forecast Scenario — 33
Oil and Gas
Reserves — 33
Oil Supply and
Demand — 33
Gas Supply and Demand — 33
Refining and Oil Products Trade — 35
Revenues/Import
Costs — 36
Table: Bulgaria Oil & Gas – Historical
Data & Forecasts — 36
Other
Energy — 37
Table: Bulgaria Other Energy –
Historical Data & Forecasts — 37
Key Risks To BMI’s
Forecast Scenario — 37
Long-Term Oil & Gas
Outlook — 38
Macroeconomic
Outlook — 39
Table: Bulgaria – Economic Activity,
2006 – 2013 — 41
Competitive
Landscape — 42
Executive Summary — 42
Table: Key Players Bulgarian Oil & Gas Sector — 43
Overview/State Role — 43
Table: Key Upstream
Players — 45
Table: Key Downstream
Players — 45
Company Monitor — 46
Lukoil Neftekhim — 46
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
plc — 49
Petrol AD — 51
OMV
Bulgaria — 53
Shell Bulgaria — 55
Eko-Elda Bulgaria — 57
Melrose
Resources — 59
Bulgargaz –
Summary — 62
Direct Petroleum Exploration –
Summary — 62
JKX Oil & Gas/Aurelian Oil & Gas –
Summary — 62
Opet – Summary — 63
Prista – Summary — 63
Glossary of
Terms — 64
Oil & Gas Ratings: Revised
Methodology — 65
Introduction — 65
Ratings Overview — 65
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business
Environment Ratings: Structure — 66
Indicators — 67
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment
Upstream Ratings: Methodology — 67
Table: BMI Oil & Gas
Business Environment Downstream Ratings: Methodology — 68
Oil & Gas Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts — 70
Regional Oil
Demand — 70
Table: CEE Oil Consumption
(000b/d) — 70
Regional Oil Supply — 71
Table: CEE Oil Production (000b/d) — 71
Regional Refining
Capacity — 72
Table: CEE Oil Refining Capacity
(000b/d) — 72
Regional Gas Demand — 73
Table: CEE Gas Consumption (bcm) — 73
Regional Gas
Supply — 74
Table: CEE Gas Production
(bcm) — 74
Bulgaria Country
Overview — 74
Methodology & Risks To
Forecasts — 75
BMI Forecast
Modelling — 76
How we generate our industry
forecasts — 76
Energy Industry — 77
Cross checks — 77
Sources — 77
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