Table of Contents
Executive Summary — 7
SWOT
Analysis — 9
Iran Political SWOT — 9
Iran Economic SWOT — 10
Iran Business Environment
SWOT — 11
Iran Energy Market
Overview — 12
Regional Energy Market
Overview — 18
Oil Supply And
Demand — 18
Table: Middle East Oil Consumption
(000b/d) — 19
Table: Middle East Oil Production
(000b/d) — 20
Oil: Downstream — 21
Table: Middle East Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d) — 21
Gas
Supply And Demand — 22
Table: Middle East Gas Consumption
(bcm) — 22
Table: Middle East Gas Production
(bcm) — 23
Liquefied Natural Gas — 24
Table: Middle East LNG Exports/(Imports) (bcm) — 24
Business Environment Ranking — 25
Middle East
Region — 25
Composite Scores — 25
Table: Regional Upstream Business Environment Rating — 26
Table: Regional Downstream Business Environment
Rating — 27
Upstream Scores — 27
Downstream Scores — 27
Iran Upstream Rating –
Overview — 28
Iran Upstream Rating – Potential
Returns — 28
Iran Upstream Rating – Risks To
Potential Returns — 28
Iran Downstream Rating –
Overview — 28
Iran Downstream Rating – Potential
Returns — 29
Iran Downstream Rating – Risks To
Potential Returns — 29
Business
Environment — 30
Legal Framework — 30
Infrastructure — 31
Labour Force — 32
Foreign Investment Policy — 33
Tax
Regime — 34
Security Risk — 34
Industry Forecast Scenario — 36
Oil & Gas
Reserves — 36
Oil Supply & Demand — 36
Gas Supply & Demand — 37
LNG — 39
Refining & Oil Products Trade — 42
Revenues/Import
Costs — 43
Table: Iran Oil & Gas – Historical Data &
Forecasts — 44
Other Energy — 45
Table: Iran Other Energy – Historical data &
Forecasts — 46
Key Risks To BMI’s Forecast
Scenario — 46
Long-Term Oil & Gas
Outlook — 47
Macroeconomic
Outlook — 48
Table: Iran - Economic
Activity — 51
Competitive
Landscape — 52
Executive Summary — 52
Table: Key Players – Iranian Oil & Gas Sector — 53
Overview/State Role — 53
Table: Key Upstream Operators
– Iran Oil & Gas Sector — 56
Table: Key Downstream
Operators – Iran Energy Sector — 56
Company
Monitor — 57
National Iranian Oil Company
(NIOC) — 57
National Iranian Oil Refining and Distribution
Company (NIORDC) — 63
Eni Iran — 66
Total Iran — 69
Shell Development
Iran — 73
StatoilHydro –
Summary — 76
Inpex –
Summary — 77
Lukoil –
Summary — 77
CNPC – Summary — 77
CNOOC – Summary — 78
PTTEP –
Summary — 78
ONGC/OVL –
Summary — 78
OMV – Summary — 79
BP – Summary — 80
Sinopec –
Summary — 80
Gazprom –
Summary — 80
Glossary of Terms — 82
Oil & Gas Ratings: Revised Methodology — 83
Introduction — 83
Ratings
Overview — 83
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment
Ratings: Structure — 84
Indicators — 85
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment
Upstream Ratings: Methodology — 85
Table: BMI Oil & Gas
Business Environment Downstream Ratings: Methodology — 86
Oil & Gas Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts — 88
Regional Oil
Demand — 88
Table: Middle East Oil Consumption
(000b/d) — 88
Regional Oil Supply — 89
Table: Middle East Oil Production (000b/d) — 89
Regional
Refining Capacity — 90
Table: Middle East Oil Refining
Capacity (000b/d) — 90
Regional Gas
Demand — 91
Table: Middle East Gas Consumption
(bcm) — 91
Regional Gas Supply — 92
Table: Middle East Gas Production (bcm) — 92
Iran Country
Overview — 92
Methodology & Risks To
Forecasts — 93
BMI Forecast
Modelling — 94
How we generate our industry
forecasts — 94
Energy Industry — 95
Cross checks — 95
Sources — 95
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